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A green futures candle is not the same as real demand.
Futures can climb because traders add leverage. Spot climbs when people actually buy the coin. On a chart they look alike. Under stress, they behave very differently.
That is why I separate two questions:
Who is pushing the price: spot buyers or leveraged traders?
How crowded is the trade? Extreme funding is a warning sign, not a signal.
What would change my view? Spot volume rising on a pullback would make me more comfortable. A rally with falling spot volume would make me more cautious.
Which do you trust more when they disagree, spot or

$679 million flowed out of ETFs last week—can CPI bring the funds back?
Before looking at the CPI data, I first reviewed the funding situation.
Last week (October 5 to 9), U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $678.9 million, compared with net inflows of $241.1 million the previous week. The outflows were mainly concentrated on October 7 and 8, with $485 million flowing out on Wednesday alone, the largest single-day net outflow since June.
Ethereum ETFs fared even worse, recording nearly $700 million in cumulative outflows over nine consecutive trading days.
This shows that institutional

#Bitcoin drops below $83,000 as hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data triggers a fresh sell-off across crypto markets.
Inflation at 3.7% is now the third-highest reading since September 2023, fueling expectations of further Fed rate hikes through 2027.
Higher rates could keep pressure on risk assets.
Will $BTC hold key support, or is more downside ahead ?

A little evening joy, safely secured [酷]
$BTC $ETH $XAU #美国9月CPI超预期

Tonight at 20:30: Preview of U.S. September CPI
This is the last inflation report before the Fed's October 27-28 FOMC meeting and will directly affect pricing for the probability of a rate hike in December. With current U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and U.S. Bitcoin ETFs seeing net outflows of approximately $386 million in October, the market is in a state of heightened tension, and volatility will increase significantly before and after the data release.
Core expectations
Indicator Expected Previous
Headline CPI MoM +0.6% +0.4%
Headline CPI YoY 3.6% 3.4%
Core CPI MoM 0.2% 0.29%
Core CPI Y

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BREAKING: $62.6 trillion BNY completes a tokenized U.S. Treasury triparty repo workflow with Citadel Securities. A 2-year Treasury note settled within minutes on BNY's private digital ledger, then served as collateral in an overnight repo funded by BNY.

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Core CPI is the real danger—the headline number may look scary, but don’t be alarmed

The CPI data will be released tomorrow, and many people are worried that the headline number will surge to 3.7%. But I want to point out something that many may overlook—this time, the rise in headline CPI is mainly being driven by energy prices, not a deterioration in underlying inflation.

Barclays’ forecasts are clear: the energy component rose 5.05% month-over-month in September, with gasoline prices surging 9.23% month-over-month and 34.8% year-over-year, while heating oil rose as much as 38.8% year-ov

solana:HuAXPyDWDaMYFKuwQHpqL1oPnj93zdzWmtvFGzCeCUa7 should soon become @LaunchOnSF Dragon One

$BTC is holding the range above $80K. Bulls can still retest $85K, possibly after CPI.
💡Reclaim that level in the coming days and momentum flips back to the upside. Fail it and bears will aim for September lows.

Data arrives, and we're still steadily raking in profits—no need to say more about our strength.$XAU

Sold a big A7 too early $btw —I'm in tears

$ZZZ Chart Analysis

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💬 This edition’s hot topic
The U.S. September CPI data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14. As important data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October interest rate me

You’re not depressed.
You just need to see SOL back at $500.