GateUser-4504dbea

The simple approach in the crypto circle: earning a steady 200 to 300U daily is not difficult.
This is not a myth of getting rich overnight, but a result I repeat every day.
To put it simply, as long as the volatility is enough, I can take money out of the market.
I don’t look at charts, don’t watch the market, don’t draw lines, and I can even profit during sideways trading.
Sounds exaggerated, right? But it’s not a joke.
A brother tripled his funds in 30 days and withdrew directly by car.
Another newbie turned 1500U into 5600U in about a month.
If you really follow the right rhythm, none of these are difficult.
I can honestly say:
Most retail investors in this market don’t die because of the market conditions, but because of poor sense of rhythm, wrong direction, and messy positions.
And the brothers I mentor, they’re not special, really don’t need to understand much.
Just two points: listen to what’s said, and take action.
What’s the key? Don’t believe those “awesome trading strategies” or the K-line courses that sell stuff.
The core is four things:
Rhythm control, position splitting, position adjustment, exit plan.
Let me explain a bit more:
1. When the rhythm is right, the market gives you meat.
2. Good position splitting helps resist risks.
3. Smooth position adjustment allows you to ride waves.
4. Having an exit plan prevents you from holding on to a crashing trade.
But once you really follow through with a round of trading, you’ll immediately realize it’s a different world from “guessing ups and downs.”
Many people are still gambling—betting on the next big turnaround or the next wave of wealth.
Honestly, every time you turn around, you’re probably losing three times your principal.
Do you also have these problems:
1. Frequent trading making things messier?
2. Correct direction but still losing money?
3. Unable to hold positions, unable to resist temptation?
4. Only emotions left after trying a strategy?
If you’re hit by two or more of these, brother, don’t stubbornly hold on anymore.
The crypto market isn’t short of opportunities; it’s just that your direction is wrong and your rhythm is off.
If you keep going like this, you’ll sooner or later pay the “tuition” to the market.
Stop always thinking “the next trade will make you rich,” and focus on how to save your account, stabilize it, and slowly break through.

BTC single-day big dump of 8%! Gann's law emergency decoding: buy the dip in the golden pit or Cut Loss to escape?

The cryptocurrency market has suddenly experienced a shocking plunge, with BTC falling over 8% in a single day, breaking through multiple key moving averages. Amid the evaporation of a trillion in market value, investors are collectively caught in a dilemma—should they take the opportunity to buy the dip and enter the "golden pit," or should they cut losses and flee in panic to "save themselves"?

The trading laws established by William Gann a hundred years ago have long provided answers to the decision-making challenges in volatile markets through the triple underlying logic of time, price, and space. This trading system, which has been tested by the market, is centered around predicting time cycles, locating price segmentation, and tracking spatial trends, combined with geometric angle analysis and volume verification, to accurately capture market reversal signals and achieve high-probability trend-following trades. Its eight core rules serve as a "pitfall avoidance guide" in the current big dump market, with each rule directly pointing to the key operations:

1. Three-part capital strategy: leave enough safety margin, refuse to put all eggs in one basket.

Divide the funds into 3 equal parts, using only 1/3 of the position for each trade, while keeping the remaining 2/3 as a risk reserve to cope with market fluctuations. Currently, the volatility of BTC is at its peak, and heavily investing to buy the dip is akin to gambling. Only by gradually building positions and diversifying risks can one maintain a foothold amidst drastic fluctuations.

2. The 2-3% stop-loss iron rule: firmly uphold the loss bottom line and eliminate the mentality of taking chances.

The loss amount for a single transaction should never exceed 2-3% of the total capital. Strictly adhere to stop-loss discipline without hesitation. In extreme market conditions for BTC, cases of "losing all principal in one holding" are not uncommon. Sticking to the stop-loss line is the key to maintaining qualification for future operations.

3. Refuse over-trading: abandon blind following the trend, only seize high certainty opportunities.

Gann emphasized that by grasping only 5-7 high certainty market trends in a year, one can achieve stable returns. Currently, market sentiment is chaotic and signals are mixed; frequent buying and selling will only amplify mistakes and deplete capital. Patiently waiting for clear turning signals is the wise course of action.

4. Trend-following pyramid position: increase position on profit, no addition against the trend.

When making profits, gradually increase positions in a ratio of 1:2:3 to amplify returns; during a downward trend, resolutely avoid adding positions to prevent deeper losses. Currently, BTC clearly shows a downward trend, and buying the dip against this trend is like catching a falling knife with bare hands, facing a high probability of being trapped.

5. Trend Line Decisiveness: 1×1 angle determines direction, do not go against the trend.

When the price stands above the 1×1 ascending angle line, you can go long; once it breaks below this key trend line, decisively turn to short. Currently, BTC has broken the long-term trend support, and blindly advancing before the trend is clear is no different from going against the trend.

6. 50% split level: accurately capture key turning signals

Using the 50% retracement level between the recent key highs and lows of the market as a core reference for buying and selling. From the current situation, BTC has not yet reached an effective retracement support level, and a short-term rebound is more likely to be a technical correction during a downtrend, rather than a trend reversal.

7. Time cycle resonance: Wait for multiple signal confirmations and do not be confused by a single fluctuation.

Price signals need to be confirmed in conjunction with anniversaries, seasonal cycles, and other temporal nodes; a single price fluctuation is insufficient to constitute an effective reversal. Currently, the market has not shown a resonance signal between time and price, and entering blindly lacks logical support.

8. Volume Evidence: Distinguishing True and False Signals to Avoid Misjudging the Market

A valid breakout must be accompanied by an increase in trading volume; a decrease in volume during a top often signals that funds are exiting. During this big dump of BTC, the trading volume has increased simultaneously, indicating that market selling pressure has not eased and the trend is expected to continue.

Based on the current market analysis: The big dump of BTC this time is influenced by multiple factors such as regulatory dynamics and large capital outflows, with a clear bearish short-term trend. However, there is still room for technical recovery in the long term. According to Gann's law, there is no need to blindly buy the dip, nor to panic and cut loss—use the three-part fund allocation method for phased layout, taking the 50% retracement level and 1×1 trend line as core signal anchor points. Strictly adhere to a 2-3% stop-loss discipline and patiently wait for the resonance signals of time and price.

The market is always full of opportunities, but once the principal is completely lost, there is no chance for a comeback. By following the eight core principles of Gann, breaking free from emotional interference, and viewing the rises and falls from a rational perspective, one can accurately grasp the true "golden pit" in a big dump market, rather than falling into a bottomless "trap."
#江恩 #当前行情抄底还是观望？ #逆势上涨币种推荐 $BTC $XRP $ETH

The well-known decentralized Perptual Futures exchange Hyperliquid was recently reported to have suffered a "Liquidity Attack" this week, where a trader maliciously manipulated the price of the meme coin POPCAT, resulting in a loss of 4.9 million dollars for the exchange's active market-making pool Hyperliquidity Provider (HLP).

Finally, I have time to sit down and chat with everyone about the rumors and alarm of the past two days (Part Two)
Let's continue with the previous update. The reason I haven't been paying much attention to the market is that I've been busy with company matters. The data that came out in October was much worse than expected. Now, the difficulties in running a restaurant business feel much harder than playing in the crypto space. The anxiety that business brings me is much greater than that from the crypto world.
In fact, in our circle, short-term fluctuations and long-term consolidation are the norms. The key is to坚持长期的价值投资. As long as the underlying logic of selecting coins is not significantly deviated, the annualized returns can be expected.
But BTC must be the main focus, while altcoins will always be a matter of personal risk preference.
Sitting in front of the computer at night writing updates, I saw a few Xs posted by Boss Zhao. It seems he is going to encourage everyone not to lose heart again. Zhao the Scythe's self-monologue about being trapped every time he buys coins indirectly proves that even the big shots in the crypto world find it difficult to accurately grasp market rhythms. He has bought BTC and called on everyone to stock up on a certain B, and in just a few years, those coins have indeed dropped, but the returns are also quite visible. You may not like this person, but you must understand that it seems he really hasn't acted like a scythe when it comes to recommending coins. Now he has started endorsing Aster again; do you dare to get in?
I don't dare to do it at the moment, but I will take some time to research. If funds allow, buying a little to hold onto wouldn't hurt. I once mentioned during a live stream that for altcoins I don't have enough understanding of, even if I want to speculate, I wouldn't invest more than 50,000 yuan of principal into them.
The first is that I find it very hard to believe the myth that altcoins can make you rich. The second is that according to probability theory, if you invest in 3-4 altcoins and set your stop loss at a 50% limit, as long as one of them can double in value, you can make a small profit of 12.5%. If one can increase by 6 times, your principal can more than double. If one can increase by 10 times, your principal can more than triple.
This method may seem foolish, but it can relatively reliably give you the thrill of making money. Similarly, you can reduce this capital to 5000 and distribute it in meme coins or primary market low-cap coins.
Is the profit probability of this type of spot altcoin gameplay really relatively easy to occur?
It is feasible to invest a small portion in mainstream altcoins during a bear market, and a small portion in trending meme coins during a bull market. However, discussing these now is not very meaningful. As a friend mentioned in the comments earlier, wanting to buy GT, OK某B, B某B for holding now seems to be a timing issue. Generally speaking, coins that have already been pumped are unlikely to be easily pumped again, unless you can wait for a while and truly do not lack funds.
Moreover, the method I mentioned is also anti-human; there aren't many who can truly use it. Most people enter the cryptocurrency space with the aim of getting rich quickly. If you tell newcomers about 5x or 10x returns, many will probably look down on it. So many spot trading experts, as they continue to trade, gradually get involved with contracts. Even though they claim to have their own trading systems, in the end, they all succumb to unpredictable black swan events and that bit of common human greed.
Most of our current pain comes from the fact that the returns from altcoins have not met expectations, and according to traditional bull and bear cycle theory, the deadline for escaping the peak has arrived. It has been previously predicted that as soon as there is any sign of wind or movement in the market, retail investors are extremely likely to panic and continuously hand over their chips, which is the resonance brought about by this four-year peak consensus.
Looking back now, the intentions of the main players should have been achieved, and the fear index has reached 21. Over the year, the days of extreme panic have added up to less than 15 days.
Analyzing the chips handed over by retail investors, on one hand, they come from long-term holders who do not want to incur losses at this peak. On the other hand, there are retail investors who only entered the market after chasing the rise in the second half of the year. From on-chain data, these two groups account for about 40%. I have been wondering, who exactly is buying these chips? The likely candidates should only be seasoned investors and some institutions.
Many people leave comments asking me if the altcoins they hold still have hope. I don't know how to respond to such questions. Even ETH has dropped to such a level; I'm scared of this round of altcoin market. If I hadn't cut losses quickly, I would probably be feeling miserable right now.
In my personal analysis system, there is a relatively simple way to distinguish, which is to observe and compare the price of the cryptocurrency you hold on November 5th of last year.
If the current price can still maintain above last year's price for altcoins, they are basically funds with a nature of faith. These coins either have certain value in their ecosystem or have a certain consensus in the community, such as mainstream altcoins like ETH/ADA/DOGE/LINK/AVAX, etc. Although the current candlestick structure is not very optimistic, considering the policies, there may still be some hope in the days to come. However, this is like finding copper coins among junk, which carries a relatively high level of risk.
Therefore, I have always emphasized that holding positions is not about blindly being bullish or using psychological tricks to win over oneself every day, but rather about evaluating the chips you hold. Regardless of the fundamentals, news, or technical analysis, we must consider whether there is still a possibility of a price surge.
If you have rationally considered it, then hold on to it. If you firmly believe it has value and you have some bullets, you can also add to your position.
As for those below this price, such as the once popular altcoins APE/FIL/DOT/SHIB/ORDI/WLD, is there still hope? I believe if you look at the candlestick chart and combine it with the daily trading volume data, you should come to your own conclusion. This, I will leave for you to judge yourself.
From this perspective, the explosive bull market for altcoins that we have been hoping for has never actually arrived. In fact, many cryptocurrencies have continued to bear market trends, occasionally engaging in quick pump-and-dump schemes to trick some people into joining. This phenomenon is not something new we have only started seeing today. Therefore, discussing whether it's a bull or bear market has little significance for many people.
After nearly two years of ups and downs with altcoins, I believe many people are truly numb, and some have even closed their software and left the market. So if you are still in the market at this moment and have the mood to check the dynamics and vent your frustrations, regardless of whether your account is in profit or loss, you have already outperformed 60% of the players. At least you have endured such a long period of tough times, and your resilience and trading skills are still relatively healthy so far.
I always believe that now is not the beginning of a bear market. If you share this view, then prepare yourself for trading and mental readiness. The impact of news on market trends will be significant. As long as your account can maintain a position where you can advance or retreat, it's only a matter of working hard for a year.
This process is definitely painful; we are all ordinary people. Who wouldn't want to make some money for the New Year? Give yourself some confidence; perhaps today's melancholy will make tomorrow's happiness even more precious. #今日你看涨还是看跌？

CRYPTO MARKET ANALYSIS, URGENT 👇
Are we starting a bear market? What to do with altcoins? Buy or sell?
Bitcoin has touched the support zone between the 200 and 365-day moving averages.
If the price holds above the 365-day moving average (bull market support), it historically generates good upward movements.
It is very important to keep ourselves above the support.
We remain bullish.
But we need positive catalysts to drive the markets. Without them, the rally does not continue.
CURRENT CATALYSTS
CATALYZER 1: INTEREST RATE CUT
When interest rates fall, money seeks returns in risk assets. Altcoins benefit directly.
At least two more rate cuts are expected.
Powell said that another rate cut in December "is far from being assured." But for now, this is noise, they want to scare you.
The current probability of seeing a rate cut in December is 69.8%.
CATALYZER 2: LIQUIDITY AT MAXIMUMS
- M2 Money Supply: $22.20 TRILLION
- Money Market Funds: $7.48 TRILLION
- Stablecoins: $308 BILLONES (ATH)
More liquidity = more capital towards altcoins when sentiment changes.
CATALYZER 3: ALTCOIN ETFs
Institutions bought 944,000 Bitcoin in 2025 (7x the mined).
Now the altcoin ETFs are coming. 16 pending applications: SOL, XRP, LTC, DOGE, ADA, HBAR.
If approved, it will be a great catalyst.
CATALYST 4: PRO-CRYPTO GOVERNANCE
Trump signed:
- GENIUS Act
- Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
- Order 401(k): $12.5 TRILLION can enter crypto
The SEC shifted from regulatory warfare to a clear framework. The U.S. wants to be the crypto capital of the world.
CATALYZER 5: RETAIL OUT OF MARKET
- "Bitcoin" searches at bearish lows
- "Altcoin" searches dropped 50% since August
Fear & Greed Index: 33 (very far from euphoria)
There is no FOMO. Many believe that we started a bear market and left the market.
CATALYST 6: INSTITUTIONS ENTERING
More and more institutions are adopting crypto.
It is expected that in the coming months and years, more banks, companies, and governments will start to adopt crypto. Even buying Bitcoin.
Seeing large institutions buying would be a massive catalyst.
Ultimately, THESE ARE THE ARGUMENTS FOR WHY IT IS STILL POSSIBLE TO BE BULLISH:
- Liquidity easing and interest rate cuts
- No clear euphoria in crypto
- Continuous institutional adoption
- Crypto market bill in the U.S.
- Historically excellent Q4s
- Liquidity + stablecoins
However, there are also arguments for being bearish. In fact, more and more crypto investors are positioning themselves as bearish.
The crypto fear and greed indicator has been indicating fear for weeks. This could be the beginning of a bear market or a great opportunity to position oneself before a rise.
THESE ARE THE BEARISH ARGUMENTS:
- AI bubble feeling and other sectors
- Bullish news fails to pump the cryptos
- Uncertainty in crypto
- 4-year historical cycles already indicate the end
- Old OG wallets selling
- Buffet liquidating billions in stocks
Remember that there is no absolute truth and that everyone must conduct their own analyses.
LET'S TALK ABOUT ALTCOINS
For years the game was simple: Bitcoin goes up → Ethereum follows → altcoins explode. Everyone wins.
This is over.
The market shifted from retail to institutional funds that move trillions.
The problem: 90% of crypto projects are still operating as if it were 2021.
They think that marketing, promises, and hype are enough. They are not.
The reality: most altcoins are in losses and will not yield good returns again.
The projects that survive and have given good returns have 3 things:
1. UTILITY
- It is really useful
- It has real users
- Move real money
- Large companies are adopting it
2. THEY ARE A BUSINESS
It must be a profitable business. If they rely on selling their tokens... what happens when they drop 70%?
3. COMMUNITY THAT PERSISTS
When the price drops, does it remain active? Or does it disappear with the hype?
Anyone who does not meet at least one of these requirements is doomed to die. Anyone who does not meet two of these requirements has a good chance of dying.
Example of 2 altcoins that we have accumulated:
- Bittensor $TAO : Decentralized artificial intelligence network
- Hyperliquid $HYPE : Decentralized perpetual futures exchange DEX
They meet the requirements and, as of today, they are really solid. But remember that in crypto, everything can change very quickly; altcoins that were top 4 years ago are now dead.
We would love to hear your opinion: are you bullish or bearish?
And we appreciate any interaction with this post ❤️🔄💬

Over the years, I have realized a particularly important investment principle that I want to share with everyone.
Many people ask me: What have you bought recently? Can you tell me a target for a big bet? But I usually respond with a question: What is your own buying logic?
If you don't understand the logic behind my buying, you'll never know when and why I will sell. Once the price fluctuates beyond your expectations, you'll panic. Those without logical support cannot distinguish whether what's in front of them is an opportunity or a trap, and in the end, they are often led by their emotions, frequently making trades and hasty decisions.
True experts do not rely on luck or blind "feelings"; instead, they have a complete logical system that supports their decisions. Ordinary people often just want to copy a result or code, fantasizing that a single sentence from others can change their fate, but that is unrealistic.
The core of investing is not what you buy, but why you buy it and when you should sell.
Only by establishing your own logic and standards can you remain calm during severe market fluctuations, see the trends clearly, and not be driven by emotions.
I suggest you also write down the criteria for buying a certain asset and discuss it together to inspire each other.

turn
After years of struggling in the crypto space, having tried ICOs, sh*tcoins, and mining, and experiencing three rounds of bull and bear markets, I've reviewed countless operations and found that there is only one method that can yield stable profits — a fundamental logic so simple that everyone understands: buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, that's all.
The bull and bear cycles are clear and traceable: bull markets typically last from 6 months to 1 year, while bear markets last from 1 to 2 years, with a complete cycle lasting 3 to 4 years. By grasping the patterns, one can earn 50%+ returns in each bull market, easily outperforming wealth management, stocks, and funds — this is not speculation, but a market rule.
The practical rules are divided into five steps:
Only lay low and plan during a bear market
Be patient and aim for the bottom range of the bear market (the sign is that Bitcoin is neglected and the crypto circle is completely silent) to enter the market in batches. This phase may last for more than a year, but it's the golden period for picking up chips — there's no need to pursue buying at the lowest point; building a position in batches is more prudent.
Focus heavily only on mainstream coins
BTC, ETH: The eternal core of the crypto space, buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, 50%+ price increase is the baseline, the first choice for large funds.
Platform token: such as BNB, deeply tied to the exchange, with strong anti-dive ability.
Strong public chains: such as SOL, AVAX, with solid technology and strong momentum in a bull market.
Infrastructure coins: such as MATIC, widely used in ecological applications, with clear long-term value.
Beware of meme coins: such as Dogecoin and SHIB, which lack substantial application support and rely solely on speculation. Only invest a very small amount for entertainment; do not go heavy on it.
Iron law: Altcoins are essentially "tools for harvesting chives"; coins that surge during a bull market may drop to zero in the next round. Betting on altcoins without insider information is equivalent to gambling.
Decisive profit-taking in the mid-bull market
Initial phase: BTC leads the rise, ETH follows, mainstream coins steadily increase, and a few altcoins show unusual movements.
Mid-term: BTC and ETH are oscillating upward, mainstream coins are experiencing a full breakout, and altcoins are starting to rise.
Later: BTC will drop first, ETH may make a final sprint, and altcoins will surge wildly (multiples or even hundreds of times).
Epilogue: BTC plummeted by thousands of points, briefly rebounded before dipping again, signaling the end of the bull market. It is crucial to cut losses at this time and not hold onto fantasies, or else the principal will be irretrievable.

Crypto world 8 years: From 50,000 to 30 million, I won the market by relying on a discipline that was "stupid to the extreme".

After 8 years of struggling in the crypto world, I did not rely on fancy techniques, but instead used a set of "anti-impulsiveness" clumsy methods to grow a principal of 50,000 to 30 million. The clearer it gets over time: the speed of making money and the number of operations have always been inversely proportional.

My advancement path has no surprises, each step is based on discipline:

- Phase 1: From 50,000 to 1.5 million, took 2 years, solidifying the pace;
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- Stage Two: 1.5 million to 8 million, reduced to 1 year, compound interest gradually becomes apparent;
​
- Phase Three: 8 million to 30 million, only in 5 months, discipline yields returns.

This is not luck, but rather a relentless focus on a "N-shaped pattern": a vertical rise to establish a base, a diagonal pullback to confirm, and then a vertical breakout to enter. If the pattern is correct, enter; if support is broken, cut the position immediately, never averaging down, never adding leverage, and engraining "2% stop loss, 10% take profit" into the operations, executing it to the smallest detail.

There are always people around me who laugh at me for being "too rigid": not looking at moving averages, not chasing hot topics, and not listening to rumors, how can I make big money in the crypto world? But the truth is quite the opposite—those who stare at the market every day and frequently enter and exit often lose money faster. My market view is very clean, with only a light gray 20-day moving average left. I spend 5 minutes every day scanning the 4-hour candlestick chart: if there is a matching N-shaped pattern, I enter the market and set a stop loss; if not, I close the software. The rest of the time is spent with my family, walking the dog, and drinking coffee, never wasting energy on ineffective chart watching.

Even when making money, I have never gotten carried away, always maintaining my own "safety line":

- When it reaches 1.5 million, first withdraw 50,000 of the principal to keep it safe, even if there are subsequent fluctuations, it leaves a way out;
​
- When it reaches 8 million, take out half to buy stable funds and fixed deposits, leaving the other half in the crypto world to compound interest.
Even if the market crashes, my position remains as solid as a rock, never panicking and cutting losses like others.

After 8 years, I have summarized three iron rules that have never been broken:

1. Do not chase the rise, only wait for the pattern confirmation before entering, never gamble on the trend;
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2. Do not hold onto positions, leave immediately if a breakout occurs; gambling is the beginning of losses.
​
3. Do not cling to the battle; once you earn enough to reach your target, take a portion of the money and secure it. Securing it is the real profit.

In fact, there is no "money-making holy grail" in the crypto world. What is truly useful are the "simple methods" that can filter out impatience. If you can calm down and stick to the discipline, you will naturally be able to secure your own profits. Stop fantasizing about getting rich overnight; just do the math: as long as you steadily achieve 20 times a 10% return, going from 50,000 to 10 million is just a matter of time. #今天你用Gate保险箱了吗？ #ETH反弹在即？ #巨鲸加仓2.5亿美元BTC .