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After years of struggling in the crypto space, having tried ICOs, sh*tcoins, and mining, and experiencing three rounds of bull and bear markets, I've reviewed countless operations and found that there is only one method that can yield stable profits — a fundamental logic so simple that everyone understands: buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, that's all.
The bull and bear cycles are clear and traceable: bull markets typically last from 6 months to 1 year, while bear markets last from 1 to 2 years, with a complete cycle lasting 3 to 4 years. By grasping the patterns, one can earn 50%+ returns in each bull market, easily outperforming wealth management, stocks, and funds — this is not speculation, but a market rule.
The practical rules are divided into five steps:
Only lay low and plan during a bear market
Be patient and aim for the bottom range of the bear market (the sign is that Bitcoin is neglected and the crypto circle is completely silent) to enter the market in batches. This phase may last for more than a year, but it's the golden period for picking up chips — there's no need to pursue buying at the lowest point; building a position in batches is more prudent.
Focus heavily only on mainstream coins
BTC, ETH: The eternal core of the crypto space, buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, 50%+ price increase is the baseline, the first choice for large funds.
Platform token: such as BNB, deeply tied to the exchange, with strong anti-dive ability.
Strong public chains: such as SOL, AVAX, with solid technology and strong momentum in a bull market.
Infrastructure coins: such as MATIC, widely used in ecological applications, with clear long-term value.
Beware of meme coins: such as Dogecoin and SHIB, which lack substantial application support and rely solely on speculation. Only invest a very small amount for entertainment; do not go heavy on it.
Iron law: Altcoins are essentially "tools for harvesting chives"; coins that surge during a bull market may drop to zero in the next round. Betting on altcoins without insider information is equivalent to gambling.
Decisive profit-taking in the mid-bull market
Initial phase: BTC leads the rise, ETH follows, mainstream coins steadily increase, and a few altcoins show unusual movements.
Mid-term: BTC and ETH are oscillating upward, mainstream coins are experiencing a full breakout, and altcoins are starting to rise.
Later: BTC will drop first, ETH may make a final sprint, and altcoins will surge wildly (multiples or even hundreds of times).
Epilogue: BTC plummeted by thousands of points, briefly rebounded before dipping again, signaling the end of the bull market. It is crucial to cut losses at this time and not hold onto fantasies, or else the principal will be irretrievable.