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JUST IN: SpaceX slides 10.5% as 912M restricted shares unlock—largest lock-up in U.S. history, with AMD also pressured after weak Q2. Broad market opens higher on tech and AI spending concerns. $SPX $AMD $SpaceX
#SpaceXQ2RevenueBeatsAt7.8B
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JUST IN: SpaceX slides 10.5% as 912M restricted shares unlock—largest lock-up in U.S. history, with AMD also pressured after weak Q2. Broad market opens higher on tech and AI spending concerns. $SPX $AMD $SpaceX
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SPCX’s earnings far exceeded expectations, yet its stock price plunged—the June 22 post is looking even more prescient! (Technical analysis included at the end of the article)
The earnings report did not look bad based on the numbers alone. Revenue grew 92% year over year, adjusted EBITDA nearly doubled, net losses continued to narrow, and both the number of Starlink users and profits grew rapidly. But strong earnings do not necessarily mean the stock price will rise. What truly determines the post-earnings performance is whether the results met the market expectations implied by the current v
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SPCX’s earnings far exceeded expectations, yet its stock price plunged—the June 22 post is looking even more prescient! (Technical analysis included at the end of the article)
The earnings report did not look bad based on the numbers alone. Revenue grew 92% year over year, adjusted EBITDA nearly doubled, net losses continued to narrow, and both the number of Starlink users and profits grew rapidly. But strong earnings do not necessarily mean the stock price will rise. What truly determines the post-earnings performance is whether the results met the market expectations implied by the current valuation.
On June 22, shortly after SPCX went public, I wrote:
Passive fund buying can influence short-term performance, but what always determines a stock’s long-term direction is its growth rate and market expectations.
At the time, many friends placed their hopes in subsequent buying by index funds such as Russell, MSCI, and the Nasdaq 100. I compared it with Facebook’s performance after its listing.
After going public, Facebook was gradually included in multiple indexes, but its stock price did not immediately enter a major uptrend. What truly changed Facebook’s fate was the explosion in mobile advertising revenue in its 2013 earnings report. The market saw for the first time that Facebook not only had a massive user base, but also possessed extremely strong monetization capabilities. Only after its growth rate exceeded expectations did valuation, capital, and sentiment begin to resonate.
Looking at SPCX now, the same logic is appearing again. The market chose to sell after the release of a “strong earnings report,” with the core reason first and foremost being the gap between results and expectations. Given SPCX’s current market capitalization and the market enthusiasm since its listing, investors are no longer looking merely for “rapid growth.” They expect stronger revenue growth, faster profit realization, and the massive investments in AI and aerospace to convert into cash flow sooner.
The earnings report released early this morning was strong enough, but it still fell short of the overly optimistic expectations previously priced into the stock. The market believes that, at the current valuation, the company’s results were not impressive enough, so the valuation that had been priced in ahead of time naturally needs to be reset.
At the same time, SPCX is about to face its first major post-listing lockup expiration. Shares held by some employees and early investors will gradually become eligible for trading. The expiration of the lockup does not mean all these shares will necessarily be sold, but after the potential float increases, the market often prices in the supply pressure in advance.
The earnings failed to catch up with excessively high expectations, while the lockup expiration adds short-term share-supply pressure. With the two forces combined, it is not surprising that investors chose to take profits first.
From a technical perspective, this rebound in SPCX from 104.83 has the potential to expand into a large-scale rebound targeting the entire decline (red box in Figure 1), but the prerequisite is that it must not make a new low. Otherwise, it may replicate the post-earnings performance shown in Figure 2 $CRCL after the first earnings report—continuing to fall, then beginning a large-scale rebound after finding the bottom of the decline. #SPCX $SPCX
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$BEAT ‌ ‌BEAT / USDT
Price: $2.364 (-20.59%)
24h Range: $2.345 - $3.183 | Vol: 6.32M BEAT / $17.55M - NO.8 / NO.8 AI
Perp: $2.3642 (-20.79%)
Technical: Hard rejection after blow-off top.
Price spiked to $6.000 wick high on Aug 01, that was the top. Since then downtrend -60% to $2.345 low today. MA's bearish.
MA5: 2.657 - MA10: 2.903 - MA30: 3.695 -> Price well below all MAs, MA5 < MA10 < MA30 bearish alignment. Every bounce sold into MA5.
Volume: Vol 548.35K vs MA5 1.09M / MA10 1.15M - Volume spiked 2.50M at the $6 top and again on today's flush to $2.345 - distribution then capitulation vol
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$BEAT ‌ ‌BEAT / USDT
Price: $2.364 (-20.59%)
24h Range: $2.345 - $3.183 | Vol: 6.32M BEAT / $17.55M - NO.8 / NO.8 AI
Perp: $2.3642 (-20.79%)
Technical: Hard rejection after blow-off top.
Price spiked to $6.000 wick high on Aug 01, that was the top. Since then downtrend -60% to $2.345 low today. MA's bearish.
MA5: 2.657 - MA10: 2.903 - MA30: 3.695 -> Price well below all MAs, MA5 < MA10 < MA30 bearish alignment. Every bounce sold into MA5.
Volume: Vol 548.35K vs MA5 1.09M / MA10 1.15M - Volume spiked 2.50M at the $6 top and again on today's flush to $2.345 - distribution then capitulation volume. Last 4H bars high red volume.
Support: $2.345 (24h Low) / $1.979 next
Resistance: $2.657 (MA5) / $2.903 (MA10) / $3.695 (MA30) / $3.183 (24h High)
Needs to reclaim $2.657 MA5 to stop bleeding, otherwise risk of $1.979 test. Wait for bullish reversal candle + volume drop before long, this is falling knife phase.
What is the Project?
BEAT = Audiera - Web3 entertainment on BNB Chain. Agent-native participation economy where humans + autonomous AI agents are equal economic participants. Rhythm gameplay, AI music creation with virtual idols, "Play, Dance & Earn". Legacy of Audition Online (600M+ players migrating to BNB).
Tokenomics: 1B cap on BNB Chain, used for incentives, governance, AI music subscriptions, Operator/Player Agent roles. Buyback-and-burn model funded by platform revenue.
Latest News:
1. Reported 772,045 BEAT weekly revenue June 1-8 (∼$2.87M at $3.71) used for burns - revenue-and-burn narrative drove +1500% month rally. 2. Surged 84% in short period, 480%+ in 30 days, entered Top 100 - hottest AI trade on BNB. 3. Short liquidations accelerated move to $6.00 ATH, now -60% correction is healthy profit-taking.
#BEAT #Audiera #AI
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When History Whispers, Smart Money Listens
Every market cycle creates a familiar pattern. Optimism turns into excitement, excitement becomes euphoria, and eventually fear takes control. Yet behind every major move lies a quieter story—one written not by headlines, but by patient capital.
Today, the cryptocurrency market has once again turned its attention to Bitcoin's four-year cycle. Some believe the next major expansion is approaching, while others argue that changing market conditions have weakened the reliability of historical patterns. The debate itself is significant because it reveals w
BTC-1.06%
SaharaDreams
When History Whispers, Smart Money Listens
Every market cycle creates a familiar pattern. Optimism turns into excitement, excitement becomes euphoria, and eventually fear takes control. Yet behind every major move lies a quieter story—one written not by headlines, but by patient capital.
Today, the cryptocurrency market has once again turned its attention to Bitcoin's four-year cycle. Some believe the next major expansion is approaching, while others argue that changing market conditions have weakened the reliability of historical patterns. The debate itself is significant because it reveals where investor attention is beginning to concentrate.
The four-year cycle has never been a magical formula. It has always reflected a gradual shift in supply and demand. As newly created coins become scarcer over time, long-term holders gain greater influence over market structure. When demand strengthens during these periods, price has historically responded with powerful upward trends. The cycle is not driven by hope. It is driven by economics.
This time, however, the landscape is far more sophisticated than in previous years.
Institutional capital has become a larger part of daily trading activity. Liquidity is deeper, professional risk management is more common, and macroeconomic conditions influence digital assets more than ever before. These changes do not eliminate historical cycles, but they can reshape how those cycles unfold.
One detail deserves special attention.
Experienced investors rarely wait for confirmation from the crowd. They understand that the strongest opportunities usually appear when uncertainty is highest. During accumulation phases, price often looks directionless. Volatility decreases, public interest fades, and confidence weakens. Ironically, this is often when disciplined buyers quietly increase exposure.
Many retail participants focus only on price. Professional traders study behavior.
They watch trading volume, long-term wallet activity, capital rotation, liquidity conditions, and the reaction of price around major support levels. These elements often reveal market intentions long before dramatic headlines appear.
Another important lesson comes from market psychology.
Every cycle convinces investors that "this time is different." Sometimes those words justify excessive optimism. Other times they justify unnecessary fear. Reality usually settles somewhere between those extremes. Markets evolve, but human behavior changes very little. Fear and greed continue to shape decision-making just as they have for decades.
Risk management remains the greatest competitive advantage.
No cycle guarantees profits. Every investment carries uncertainty. The objective is not to predict every movement with perfect accuracy but to build a strategy capable of surviving unexpected outcomes. Investors who protect capital during difficult periods are often the ones best positioned when momentum finally returns.
Current market conditions suggest that patience may once again become a valuable asset. Momentum is gradually improving, selling pressure appears less aggressive, and long-term conviction continues to outweigh short-term emotion. Whether the next major breakout arrives immediately or after another period of consolidation, preparation will matter far more than prediction.
History does not repeat itself with perfect precision.
It echoes.
Those who understand the rhythm beneath the noise are often the first to recognize opportunity while everyone else is still searching for certainty.
#MarketCycle
#Bitcoin #CryptoInsights
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$SPCXX ‌SpaceX Posts Record Q2 Revenue of $7.8 Billion, But After-Hours Stock Drops 6-8% as AI Spending Surges
SpaceX reported its first earnings as a public company on August 4, delivering a record $7.81 billion in revenue, a 92% jump year-over-year and a clear beat of the $6.93 billion consensus . The results were strong across all three of its business segments, yet the stock dropped roughly 6-8% in after-hours trading .
The Headlines: Revenue Beat and Narrowing Loss
The headline numbers were undeniably solid. The net loss narrowed significantly to $541 million from over $1 billion a year
SPCX-1.24%
User_any
$SPCXX ‌SpaceX Posts Record Q2 Revenue of $7.8 Billion, But After-Hours Stock Drops 6-8% as AI Spending Surges
SpaceX reported its first earnings as a public company on August 4, delivering a record $7.81 billion in revenue, a 92% jump year-over-year and a clear beat of the $6.93 billion consensus . The results were strong across all three of its business segments, yet the stock dropped roughly 6-8% in after-hours trading .
The Headlines: Revenue Beat and Narrowing Loss
The headline numbers were undeniably solid. The net loss narrowed significantly to $541 million from over $1 billion a year ago, beating the expected loss of $0.26 per share with an actual loss of just $0.09 per share . Adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled to $3.5 billion .
The Core: Starlink and AI Revenue Surge
Starlink (Connectivity): The satellite internet business remains the primary profit engine, generating $4.29 billion in revenue, up 66% year-over-year, and an operating profit of $1.66 billion . This growth was driven by reaching 12 million subscribers and a record net addition of 1.7 million users in the quarter .
AI Segment: The AI segment was the highlight, more than tripling its revenue to $2.56 billion, a 247% increase year-over-year . This was driven by new cloud computing agreements, and the segment achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time .
Space Segment: The launch business generated $962 million in revenue, slightly above expectations .
The Market's Concern: AI Capital Expenditure and the Lockup
Despite the strong revenue numbers, two factors drove the after-hours sell-off:
1. AI Capital Expenditures (Capex) More Than Doubled: Investors were spooked by the capital intensity required to fuel that AI revenue growth. The company's capital expenditures nearly tripled to $18.4 billion in Q2, compared to $10.1 billion in Q1 . The AI segment alone accounted for $15.8 billion of that spending .
CEO Elon Musk defended the investment strategy on the earnings call, stating that the company's infrastructure investments will ultimately lead to "radical improvements" in the performance and capabilities of its AI models and services .
2. The Lockup Expiration Overhang: The release of the quarterly results also triggered the opening of a lock-up provision, which will allow pre-IPO shareholders to begin selling a portion of their holdings . An even larger block of shares is set to unlock after the next quarterly report later this year .
The Underlying Tension: A Story of Two Narratives
The reaction to SpaceX's Q2 report highlights the same tension affecting other AI-driven tech stocks. On one side is a company with explosive revenue growth and an improving bottom line. On the other is a market that has shown a low tolerance for the enormous capital spending required to build and scale AI infrastructure . The immediate 6-8% drop shows that, for now, the spending side of the equation is carrying more weight with investors than the revenue beat .
#SpaceXQ2RevenueBeatsAt7.8B
NFA 👉 DYOR 🔎
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#AMDQ2RevenueHitsRecord11.5B
AMD Q2 Revenue Hits Record $11.54 Billion, But Stock Plunges 8% on Capex Shock and Sky-High Expectations
AMD delivered a record-breaking second quarter, with revenue of $11.54 billion, up 50% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share, both beating analyst estimates . Yet the stock fell more than 8% in after-hours trading . Here is what spooked the market.
The Beat: Data Center Strength and AI Momentum
The results were undeniably strong. Data center revenue, the company's core growth engine, more than doubled to $6.72 billion, accounting for 58% of t
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#AMDQ2RevenueHitsRecord11.5B
AMD Q2 Revenue Hits Record $11.54 Billion, But Stock Plunges 8% on Capex Shock and Sky-High Expectations
AMD delivered a record-breaking second quarter, with revenue of $11.54 billion, up 50% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share, both beating analyst estimates . Yet the stock fell more than 8% in after-hours trading . Here is what spooked the market.
The Beat: Data Center Strength and AI Momentum
The results were undeniably strong. Data center revenue, the company's core growth engine, more than doubled to $6.72 billion, accounting for 58% of total revenue . This was driven by a more than 70% surge in EPYC server CPU sales and Instinct AI accelerator revenue more than doubling year-over-year .
CEO Lisa Su framed the quarter as part of a broader expansion, stating, "We are still in the early stages of a multi-year AI adoption cycle" . The company also announced a major partnership with Anthropic, which will deploy up to two gigawatts of MI450 series GPUs in AMD's Helios rack-scale platform, and expanded its collaboration with Microsoft .
The Three Numbers That Spooked the Market
Despite the beat, three factors drove the selloff:
1. Capital Expenditures (Capex) Nearly Tripled: AMD spent $808 million in the quarter, nearly three times the analyst consensus of $299 million . This spending surge hit free cash flow, which fell to $1.56 billion from $2.57 billion in the prior quarter . CEO Lisa Su defended the move, pointing to the upcoming Helios platform as evidence the company is investing for long-term positioning .
2. Guidance Was Strong, But Not Good Enough: AMD projected Q3 revenue of approximately $13 billion, beating the $12.52 billion consensus . However, it fell short of some aggressive AI investor expectations, with some analysts having anticipated $135-$140 billion . CFO Jean Hu's cautious comments on the call failed to dispel these concerns .
3. The Valuation Trap: The stock had already rallied over 140% year-to-date, and the market had priced in a "perfect" quarter . As one analyst noted, "the market priced in perfection, and perfection is a high bar even when you clear it" . The after-hours decline also follows a broader chip sector selloff and Elon Musk's announcement that SpaceX will use Nvidia chips exclusively for future AI projects, adding competitive pressure .
The Bottom Line
AMD's results show a company executing well, but the market's reaction highlights the burden of high expectations. The massive capex signals a long-term bet on the growing AI accelerator market, which AMD expects to reach $1.4 trillion by 2030 . For now, the stock is caught between record performance and investor anxiety about the cost of that growth.
NFA 👉 DYOR 🔎
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#WTICrudeDropsTo75
WTI Crude Drops to $75 as Diplomatic Hopes Unwind Geopolitical Risk Premium
WTI crude touched $75 a barrel on August 4, its lowest since July 13, while Brent crude broke below $80 for the first time since mid-July . Both benchmarks have dropped over 10% in two sessions as positive signals from US-Iran talks raise hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz .
The Catalyst: A Diplomatic Breakthrough?
Oil prices fell after US officials signaled progress in negotiations with Iran and Oman about restoring traffic through the Strait of Hormuz .
· US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
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#WTICrudeDropsTo75
WTI Crude Drops to $75 as Diplomatic Hopes Unwind Geopolitical Risk Premium
WTI crude touched $75 a barrel on August 4, its lowest since July 13, while Brent crude broke below $80 for the first time since mid-July . Both benchmarks have dropped over 10% in two sessions as positive signals from US-Iran talks raise hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz .
The Catalyst: A Diplomatic Breakthrough?
Oil prices fell after US officials signaled progress in negotiations with Iran and Oman about restoring traffic through the Strait of Hormuz .
· US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said a deal to reopen the strait could be reached "today or tomorrow" .
· US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed progress was being made but stressed "no final agreement" yet .
· Qatar's Foreign Ministry said drafts of a potential agreement were being circulated, though no direct talks between the US and Iran had been scheduled .
However, Iran has publicly denied any direct negotiations with the US, insisting talks are only with Oman over strait management . This contradiction has kept the market on edge and created significant intraday volatility .
The Unwinding of a Premium
The scale of the drop, roughly 5% across both benchmarks in a single session, points to a meaningful unwinding of the geopolitical risk premium embedded in crude prices since the conflict began . Prior to the war, roughly 20% of the world's oil transited through the strait, and prices surged 50% in March alone . Goldman Sachs estimates spot Brent's fair value at about $80 a barrel, suggesting markets are now pricing in only a modest risk premium .
On the Ground: Realities and Risks
Despite the diplomatic signals, the physical situation in the Gulf remains tense:
· Shipping Traffic: Traffic through the strait has only marginally improved from severely depressed levels, with analysts noting Gulf exports remain under pressure .
· Lost Supply: Saudi Aramco's chief has stated the war has cost the world more than 2.6 billion barrels of oil .
· Fresh Attacks: A cargo vessel was reportedly struck by an unknown projectile in the strait early on August 4, highlighting the continued threat to shipping .
· Iran's Demands: Reports indicate Iran is seeking a temporary arrangement to control a route through the strait, a potential sticking point for the US .
The Outlook: A Fragile Equilibrium
The market remains extremely sensitive to headline flow . Key levels to watch:
· WTI Support/Resistance: $75.00 is the current floor; resistance stands at $82.00 and the recent high near $86.00.
· Brent Support/Resistance: $79.00 is the pivotal support level; resistance sits at $85.00 and then $90.00.
· The $80–$90 Range: Goldman Sachs expects Brent to trade within this range until either confirmation of a deal or a major escalation .
· Key Date: Diplomats are eyeing the August 16 expiration of the 60-day ceasefire window, a critical deadline for the talks .
The current dip represents a bet that diplomacy will succeed. If it fails, the risk premium could return just as quickly as it disappeared. For now, oil traders are navigating a market where every headline has the power to move prices by 5%.
NFA 👉 DYOR 🔎
$XTIUSD $XBRUSD $CL
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#USChipStocksRally Semiconductor Rally Leads the Market
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose over 6% last night, completing its fourth consecutive day of gains. This performance indicates that the technology sector is gaining stronger momentum than the overall market.
Coherent and Marvell were among the top performers, with gains exceeding 12%. Intel and Sandisk rose over 10%, while SK Hynix and Micron increased by over 8%. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices closed at record highs.
This activity in the semiconductor sector comes at a time when investments in artificial intelligence continu
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#USChipStocksRally Semiconductor Rally Leads the Market
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose over 6% last night, completing its fourth consecutive day of gains. This performance indicates that the technology sector is gaining stronger momentum than the overall market.
Coherent and Marvell were among the top performers, with gains exceeding 12%. Intel and Sandisk rose over 10%, while SK Hynix and Micron increased by over 8%. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices closed at record highs.
This activity in the semiconductor sector comes at a time when investments in artificial intelligence continue. Demand for chips for data centers, autonomous systems, and smart devices remains strong throughout the year. This long-term demand structure keeps interest in sector stocks alive.
It is also necessary to evaluate the impact of the rise in international stock markets on local markets. During periods of increased global risk appetite, capital flows generally flow into emerging markets. This strong performance in the semiconductor index can be interpreted as a positive signal for technology-heavy portfolios.
However, when evaluating the sustainability of the rally, it is necessary to look not only at price movement but also at volume and distribution within the sector. Whether the rise is spread across all sub-sectors or concentrated in a few specific stocks is important.
The recent increases in technology stocks are supported by positive signals from the earnings season. Growth in cloud revenues, the reflection of AI investments in balance sheets, and strong semiconductor demand are among the main pillars of market optimism.
If macroeconomic data also supports this outlook, the rally may expand and continue. However, the possibility of interest rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties remain risks facing the market. Investors should closely monitor these two factors.
This article is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.
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🔥 Gate Hot Chat | New User First-Trade Loss Protection Challenge
Today's 15 first-trade loss protection spots are still available! 🎯
If you haven't traded Gate event contracts yet, sign up for the lottery first, then complete your first trade after being selected 👇
🛡️ 15 new users will be selected daily to receive first-trade loss protection
💰 Losses on the first trade are covered up to 5 USDT
🎁 Complete a trade and share your results in the group to continue drawing for a 50 USDT BTC contract position trial voucher
📝 Sign up now: https://www.gate.com/zh/questionnaire/7847
📢 Join Gate
BTC-1.07%
SaharaDreams
🔥 Gate Hot Chat | New User First-Trade Loss Protection Challenge
Today's 15 first-trade loss protection spots are still available! 🎯
If you haven't traded Gate event contracts yet, sign up for the lottery first, then complete your first trade after being selected 👇
🛡️ 15 new users will be selected daily to receive first-trade loss protection
💰 Losses on the first trade are covered up to 5 USDT
🎁 Complete a trade and share your results in the group to continue drawing for a 50 USDT BTC contract position trial voucher
📝 Sign up now: https://www.gate.com/zh/questionnaire/7847
📢 Join Gate Hot Chat: https://gate.onelink.me/Hls0/group?chatroom=group&ref=VVhBVA9a&ref_type=105
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Not Cancellation, but Postponement: What's Happening Behind the Scenes?
On Sunday, Trump announced to reporters on Air Force One that he had halted what he described as "the biggest military operation since World War II" against Iran at the last minute. The wording is crucial: not "cancellation," but "suspension" and "postponement." This distinction is a critical detail that determines the entire balance.
The justification given is that negotiations are approaching a "framework" for an agreement, which includes the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping and addressing co
BTC-1.06%
Z谋谋nxcrypto
Not Cancellation, but Postponement: What's Happening Behind the Scenes?
On Sunday, Trump announced to reporters on Air Force One that he had halted what he described as "the biggest military operation since World War II" against Iran at the last minute. The wording is crucial: not "cancellation," but "suspension" and "postponement." This distinction is a critical detail that determines the entire balance.
The justification given is that negotiations are approaching a "framework" for an agreement, which includes the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping and addressing concerns about Iran's nuclear program. Trump added that he made the decision to halt the attack at the request of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. In his own words, he said, "we are ready to act whenever we want, but I don't want to kill people," indicating that the military option is still on the table, only postponed.
But this is where things get complicated. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Asmail Bakaei said in a press statement on Monday that no direct talks with Washington are currently planned, only contact with Oman regarding the temporary regulation of ship traffic in the strait. Even more striking is Bakaei's explicit statement that the Strait of Hormuz "will never return to its status before February 28th, that is, before the start of the war." In other words, while the US side says "the strait will be fully opened," the Iranian side says "it will never return to its former state." It seems neither side is talking about the same table.
Amidst this uncertainty, an explosion was reported on a tanker off the coast of Hasab, Oman, just at the mouth of the strait last night. The UK Maritime Trade Operations Centre confirmed the incident and advised ships to exercise caution. So, while diplomacy is being discussed, sparks are still flying on the ground.
Why Did Oil Prices Pull Back? The Real Reason
The market reacted quickly, with WTI falling approximately 6% to $79.66 and Brent dropping 5.16% to $83.39. But it would be wrong to interpret this pullback as "peace has arrived." The real reason is a much more cold-blooded calculation: the Strait of Hormuz is the only narrow passage through which approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day pass – one-fifth of global consumption and 20% of global LNG trade. The Saudi Arabian East-West pipeline and the UAE's Fujairah pipeline together can only carry about 7 million barrels per day, meaning that if the strait were actually closed, the resulting gap could not be filled by any alternative route.
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged last week, and the US economy doesn't have the room to withstand another oil shock. Therefore, Trump's decision to shelve the attack is not seen as "love of peace," but as a strategic necessity dictated by timing and inflation calculations. The BMI research unit's note also supports this cautious sentiment, stating that a broader diplomatic agreement is still possible this quarter, but they have also increased the probability of an escalation scenario to 35 percent.
Why Gold Behaves Differently
The picture is somewhat more independent for gold. Even if the geopolitical risk premium decreases, the main drivers of gold remain central bank purchases and real interest rate expectations, so any potential decline is expected to be limited and unlikely to react as sharply as oil.
A Pause or a Permanent Solution?
The fact that the attack was "suspended" rather than "canceled" indicates that this is a moment of respite, not a solution. Trump has made similar postponements before this year; in March, he decided on a five-day postponement, and at that time, Iran similarly denied any direct talks. So this "pause, claim progress, the other side denies" cycle is actually not new, it's a pattern that has been repeated for months.
The ships haven't changed course yet, the tankers haven't returned to their old routes, and the news of the explosion at the mouth of the strait shows that the tension on the ground is easing much slower than the optimistic rhetoric at the negotiating table suggests. The market knows this, which is why it's maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach instead of closing its position entirely.
Do you think this agreement will actually be signed, or is it just a tactic to buy time?
#USIranTalksSendOilPricesSharplyLower
#𝐎𝐈𝐋 #FedHoldsRatesSteady #Bitcoin
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Two Sides of the Strait, One Reality
Oil prices experienced a sharp drop when signals of an agreement between Washington and Tehran regarding the Strait of Hormuz reached the market. Brent lost 7.4% yesterday. However, a denial from Iran on the same day showed that this story is not yet finished.
There are two different narratives. On one side, the US Treasury Secretary says "the deal is done," on the other, Tehran says "it's not over yet." The market, however, preferred to believe only one side.
Looking at the price movement of oil over the last month, the fragility of the situation is eviden
Z谋谋nxcrypto
Two Sides of the Strait, One Reality
Oil prices experienced a sharp drop when signals of an agreement between Washington and Tehran regarding the Strait of Hormuz reached the market. Brent lost 7.4% yesterday. However, a denial from Iran on the same day showed that this story is not yet finished.
There are two different narratives. On one side, the US Treasury Secretary says "the deal is done," on the other, Tehran says "it's not over yet." The market, however, preferred to believe only one side.
Looking at the price movement of oil over the last month, the fragility of the situation is evident. Brent, which was at $71 at the beginning of July, tested $102 in the middle of the month. It is currently hovering around $84. This fluctuation, exceeding 40%, cannot be explained by a normal supply-demand balance. This is the pricing of a risk premium and then its subsequent pullback.
Markets are now accustomed to reacting instantly to news flow. While oil prices fell on the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz opening, the stance of a deeper player is different. Gold continues to hold at the $4,040 level. Oil traders are short-term investors, watching whether the tanker will pass through the strait. Gold buyers, on the other hand, are long-term investors, watching the direction of the system. The fact that these two assets are looking in different directions simultaneously suggests there is a mispricing somewhere.
The content of the agreement also changes the situation. Iran's offer is based on controlling one of the two routes through the strait entirely and part of the other. Tehran is negotiating control, not money. Price negotiations can be concluded in a day. Sovereignty negotiations, however, can last for months. Bessent's previously publicized conditions are also clear: the delivery of enriched uranium and the abandonment of nuclear weapons. These points cannot be expected to be signed tomorrow.
There are also developments on the supply side. OPEC+ increased the daily quota by 188,000 barrels as of August. This is the fifth increase in the last five months. Diplomacy is not the only factor dragging down oil prices; the expectation of a supply surplus is also at play.
As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, $84 may seem like a cheap price. However, if the strait opens, the $70 levels will be discussed again. Every denial will cause the price to jump upwards. This uncertainty creates a more dangerous wave in the direction of the conflict. Every jump in oil prices fuels inflation expectations, and every drop fuels recession fears.
Every move that plays with fire in the Middle East directly affects the pulse of the global economy. As long as negotiations continue between the two sides of the strait, markets will continue to fluctuate.
This article does not constitute investment advice.
#DramaticOilPriceVolatility #𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊𝐄𝐓𝐒 $XTIUSD $XBRUSD $CL
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Gate Card: Convert Digital Assets into Daily Spending, Earn Up to 8% Cashback
Gate Card is designed to let you spend your USDT, BTC, ETH, and GT directly without converting them to fiat currency beforehand. Gate automatically handles the conversion and collection at the checkout.
How it Works:
Your balance in your Gate Pay account determines your card limit. You choose which asset to pay with. Transactions are completed in seconds.
Global Validity: Valid at approximately 150 million locations worldwide, online, in-store, and at ATMs, thanks to Visa infrastructure.
Virtual and Physical: The vir
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Gate Card: Convert Digital Assets into Daily Spending, Earn Up to 8% Cashback
Gate Card is designed to let you spend your USDT, BTC, ETH, and GT directly without converting them to fiat currency beforehand. Gate automatically handles the conversion and collection at the checkout.
How it Works:
Your balance in your Gate Pay account determines your card limit. You choose which asset to pay with. Transactions are completed in seconds.
Global Validity: Valid at approximately 150 million locations worldwide, online, in-store, and at ATMs, thanks to Visa infrastructure.
Virtual and Physical: The virtual card is approved and ready for online use within 3-5 minutes after identity verification. The physical card supports contactless, chip payments, and ATM withdrawals. Both can be added to Apple Pay and Google Pay. Application: If your Gate verification is complete, no additional address proof or a second KYC is required.
Cost: There are no card printing fees, monthly fees, or idle fees. Conversion fee is 0.90% for transactions of $2 and above, and $0.05 for transactions under $2. There is a 1% exchange rate for non-dollar transactions.
Rewards System - Renewed July 2026
The loyalty program, launched in July 2026, consists of 6 tiers: T0 to T5. Your tier is determined by your Gate VIP level or your monthly card spending, whichever is higher. The new tier starts the following month.
Points have no expiration date. 100 points = 1 USDT, convertible to USDT or GT at a fixed rate. Minimum cashback is 50 points.
T0: 1% cashback, up to 500 points per month, maximum 5 USDT
T1: 1% cashback, up to 5,000 points per month, maximum 50 USDT
T2: 2% cashback, up to 10,000 points per month, maximum 100 USDT
T3: 3% cashback, up to 15,000 points per month, maximum 150 USDT
T4: 5% cashback, up to 25,000 points per month, maximum 250 USDT
T5: 8% cashback, up to 40,000 points per month, maximum 400 USDT
Fees, refunds, deposits, withdrawals, and financial institution expenses do not earn points.
New Partnerships
Gate is making the card more than just a cryptocurrency tool, offering advantages in travel and shopping as well. For example, Gate Card users visiting Printemps Haussmann for the first time between July 10 and October 9, 2026, receive a 5% welcome discount. During the tax refund campaign from July 1 to August 31, 2026, users can receive up to 16% tax refund on purchases over €10,000. VIP 5 and higher users also receive a dedicated shopping advisor.
In short, if you want to hold cryptocurrency and use it directly in your daily life, from coffee to online shopping, and earn points as you spend, Gate Card is one of the most convenient solutions with its zero annual fee, low conversion fees, and up to 8% cashback.
DYOR 🔎 NFA ✔️
#GateCardUpTo8%Cashback
Details 👉 https://www.gate.com/blog/gate-card-8-percent-cashback-digital-asset-payment-benefits-2026-analysis
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Gate Stocks | Dividend Distribution Completed!
Cash dividends for this period have been distributed.
Coverage: 64 US stock symbols, including JPMorgan Chase JPM and General Electric GE
Payout: Credited as USDT equivalent for eligible holders
Period: 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-31
Where to check: Funds Flow section in your Gate account on App or Web
Global stock dividends, stay on top of them with Gate.
Details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/100960
DYOR 🔎
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Gate Stocks | Dividend Distribution Completed!
Cash dividends for this period have been distributed.
Coverage: 64 US stock symbols, including JPMorgan Chase JPM and General Electric GE
Payout: Credited as USDT equivalent for eligible holders
Period: 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-31
Where to check: Funds Flow section in your Gate account on App or Web
Global stock dividends, stay on top of them with Gate.
Details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/100960
DYOR 🔎
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$KOMA Rebounds 46%: Is This a Recovery or a Trap?
KOMA has rebounded sharply from its recent dip, surging roughly 46% in the past 24 hours to trade around $0.0212 . The move comes after the token had plummeted from its $0.0149 high back to the $0.013 level, a drop of roughly 12% that left the earlier rally in question . The recovery now puts KOMA back near its recent highs, but the volume structure and technicals suggest the rebound may be fragile.
What Actually Happened 🤔
The move from $0.013 to $0.021 is significant, but the data suggests it is more of a relief bounce than a new trend. The
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$KOMA Rebounds 46%: Is This a Recovery or a Trap?
KOMA has rebounded sharply from its recent dip, surging roughly 46% in the past 24 hours to trade around $0.0212 . The move comes after the token had plummeted from its $0.0149 high back to the $0.013 level, a drop of roughly 12% that left the earlier rally in question . The recovery now puts KOMA back near its recent highs, but the volume structure and technicals suggest the rebound may be fragile.
What Actually Happened 🤔
The move from $0.013 to $0.021 is significant, but the data suggests it is more of a relief bounce than a new trend. The trading volume is still relatively thin in USDT terms (roughly $4.1 million), and the price has been rejected at the $0.022 level . The 24-hour range shows a high of $0.02225 and a low of $0.0131, which is an extreme intraday volatility of approximately 70% . In a low-liquidity meme token, a 46% rebound on a few million dollars of turnover is not a sign of strong institutional demand; it is a sign of thin markets.
A Coin in Search of a Narrative
KOMA's recent price action is entirely disconnected from fundamentals. It is a meme token with no utility, no protocol revenue, and no development activity . The token's primary "narrative" is its association with the Koma Inu meme, which has been largely out of favor. The recent volatility is likely driven by a handful of traders leveraging the thin order book to create large percentage moves. The 4-hour RSI is now at 84.2, and the price is trading well above the upper Bollinger Band . The MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting the momentum is fading . One analyst noted that the move to $0.0139 is "a rally to exit, not to chase," highlighting that the token's movements are more about speculation than conviction.
The Key Levels and the Bigger Risk
For KOMA, the key technical levels are simple. A close above the $0.022 level would target the $0.026-$0.028 zone, but a failure to hold the $0.018 support could see the price fall back toward the $0.013 range . The bigger risk is that the token is now trading at a market cap of roughly $15 million, which, while low, is still significantly above its value a few weeks ago . Without a catalyst or a clear narrative shift, the price could easily revert to its mean.
The Verdict
KOMA's 46% bounce is a textbook example of a "dead cat bounce" in a low-liquidity asset. The price action is driven by retail speculation and the thin depth of the order book, not by fundamental demand. The extreme overbought signals and the fading volume suggest the rebound is losing steam. The prudent move is to treat this as a volatility event rather than a trend reversal and to manage risk accordingly.
DYOR 🔎
NFA ✔️
#Crypto #𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊𝐄𝐓𝐒 #Gate.ioTopGainerInThis
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Fed Chairman Warsh: PCE Is Our Number and We Stick to It ✨
🔹 To reach the 2% inflation target, I'm looking at a broader inflation data set, not just PCE.
🔹 This isn't perfect science, but we have data projections to separate the noise from the signal.
🔹 While my position is narrow, my perspective is broader than PCE.
🔹 Inflation cannot be corrected in 9 weeks.
🔹 This Fed will never compromise.
🔹 The economy is showing impressive resilience.
🔹 The Committee is committed to maintaining price stability.
🔹 The Committee is refraining from making forecasts.
🔹 Five years of high inflation h
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Fed Chairman Warsh: PCE Is Our Number and We Stick to It ✨
🔹 To reach the 2% inflation target, I'm looking at a broader inflation data set, not just PCE.
🔹 This isn't perfect science, but we have data projections to separate the noise from the signal.
🔹 While my position is narrow, my perspective is broader than PCE.
🔹 Inflation cannot be corrected in 9 weeks.
🔹 This Fed will never compromise.
🔹 The economy is showing impressive resilience.
🔹 The Committee is committed to maintaining price stability.
🔹 The Committee is refraining from making forecasts.
🔹 Five years of high inflation has made it difficult to erase the impression that the Fed is above its implicit target of 2%.
🔹 Warsh stated that while they base their fight against inflation on PCE data, they also look at a broader data set to assess price stability.
🔹 The main tone of the message is that a quick solution is not expected in the short term, and the Fed will not compromise on permanently lowering inflation.
🔹 According to Warsh, the economy 🔹 It is still showing considerable resilience, but inflation is too deeply ingrained a problem to be corrected in 9 weeks.
🔹 Also, five years of high inflation will not completely erase the perception in the market that the Fed's implicit target may be above 2 percent.
🔹 A data-driven and cautious approach, avoiding forecasting, is prominent on the committee side.
🔹 This indicates that a gradual and cautious policy stance based on a broader data set may be maintained in the near term.
🔹 For investors, such statements can affect inflation expectations and the timing of interest rate cuts; therefore, changes in dollar bond yields and risk appetite should be closely monitored.
NFA ✔️ DYOR 🔎
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营 #𝐅𝐄𝐃
#Economy $BTC $XAUUSD $US500
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$LINK Spot Chainlink ETF Receives $2.68 Million Inflow ✨
The Spot Chainlink ETF has seen an inflow of $2.68 million.
🔹 Inflow amount: $2.68 million
🔹 This move ends a two-week period of stagnation
🔹 Total holdings rise to 1.78% of the LINK supply
Following this inflow, the amount of LINK held by funds has become more visible within the supply and is interpreted as a renewed demand signal for the ETF.
DYOR 🔎 NFA ✔️
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营
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$LINK Spot Chainlink ETF Receives $2.68 Million Inflow ✨
The Spot Chainlink ETF has seen an inflow of $2.68 million.
🔹 Inflow amount: $2.68 million
🔹 This move ends a two-week period of stagnation
🔹 Total holdings rise to 1.78% of the LINK supply
Following this inflow, the amount of LINK held by funds has become more visible within the supply and is interpreted as a renewed demand signal for the ETF.
DYOR 🔎 NFA ✔️
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营
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Get on board now! 🚗
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$TSLA
Tesla Stock in the Spotlight with Over 14% Drop ✨
Tesla stock experienced a sharp pullback of over 14% today following yesterday's earnings report. The stock fell to around $235 during the day, reaching its lowest level in nearly a year and ranking among the biggest losers in the S&P 500. Year-to-date losses have reached 28%, making it the weakest performer among the Magnificent Seven.
🔹 The stock fell 14.3% today to around $320.66, briefly reaching $235.
🔹 Q2 adjusted earnings per share were $0.33, compared to an expectation of $0.55, representing an approximately 18% year-over-year
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$TSLA
Tesla Stock in the Spotlight with Over 14% Drop ✨
Tesla stock experienced a sharp pullback of over 14% today following yesterday's earnings report. The stock fell to around $235 during the day, reaching its lowest level in nearly a year and ranking among the biggest losers in the S&P 500. Year-to-date losses have reached 28%, making it the weakest performer among the Magnificent Seven.
🔹 The stock fell 14.3% today to around $320.66, briefly reaching $235.
🔹 Q2 adjusted earnings per share were $0.33, compared to an expectation of $0.55, representing an approximately 18% year-over-year decrease.
🔹 Revenue was $28.2 billion, a 26% increase, exceeding expectations.
🔹 Gross margin narrowed to 16.9%, a contraction of over 2 percentage points.
🔹 Free cash flow was negative $1.1 billion, the first negative quarter in over two years.
🔹 Capital expenditures increased to approximately $6 billion in the quarter, almost doubling.
🔹 The full-year investment plan is over $25 billion, compared to $8.5 billion last year.
🔹 Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from $417 to $400.
Strong vehicle deliveries supported the revenue side in the balance sheet details. Deliveries increased by approximately 25 percent year-on-year to 480,126 units. However, the average selling price fell to $42,730, and regulatory credit income weakened. Operating expenses increased due to the rise in artificial intelligence.
The company describes 2026 as a year of significant investment. Investments in the Optimus robotaxi fleet, the humanoid robot, and the chip manufacturing facility are increasing cash flow. While management emphasizes its focus on creating long-term value, the market is pricing in the pressure on profitability.
In summary, although revenue exceeded expectations, weakness in profit and cash flow, along with the increased investment plan, put pressure on the stock, and the more than 14 percent drop is attributed to this situation.
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营
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$US500 S&P 500 Wipes Out $900 Billion Today ✨
The S&P 500 wiped out over $900 billion in market value today. The index experienced a sharp pullback during the day, with broad-based selling led by technology.
🔹 Current level around 7407, previous close around 7513
🔹 Intraday open 7500, high 7520, low 7382
🔹 Daily change -106 points, approximately -1.41%
🔹 The technology sector has declined by approximately 6% over the past week, losing around $900 billion in value.
🔹 The S&P 500 has recently given back a large portion of its gains, led by technology.
The sell-off is driven by caution ahe
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SinCity
$US500 S&P 500 Wipes Out $900 Billion Today ✨
The S&P 500 wiped out over $900 billion in market value today. The index experienced a sharp pullback during the day, with broad-based selling led by technology.
🔹 Current level around 7407, previous close around 7513
🔹 Intraday open 7500, high 7520, low 7382
🔹 Daily change -106 points, approximately -1.41%
🔹 The technology sector has declined by approximately 6% over the past week, losing around $900 billion in value.
🔹 The S&P 500 has recently given back a large portion of its gains, led by technology.
The sell-off is driven by caution ahead of earnings season, postponed expectations of interest rate cuts, and artificial intelligence spending putting pressure on cash flow. The declines following the Tesla and Alphabet results put pressure on the index. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and rising oil prices weakened risk appetite.
In the forecasting market, volatility indicators rose for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, indicating that institutional investors were rapidly updating their risk pricing.
In summary, the $900 billion wipeout stems not from a single catalyst but from a cumulative wave of selling, and the index is likely to continue its volatile course in the short term.
NFA ✔️ DYOR 🔎
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营
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Go for it—just do it 👊
Clarity Act's Ethics Clause Clarified, But Democrats Find It Insufficient ✨
Senator Cynthia Lummis shared the ethics requirement for the Clarity Act. The clause aims to prohibit federal officials from issuing or sponsoring digital assets for profit.
🔹 Scope includes the president, vice president, members of Congress, and high-ranking federal officials.
🔹 The ban covers activities of issuing and sponsoring digital assets for profit.
🔹 The Department of Justice will be responsible for implementation.
🔹 The clause was added to the text after negotiations with the White House.
On the Democrati
SinCity
Clarity Act's Ethics Clause Clarified, But Democrats Find It Insufficient ✨
Senator Cynthia Lummis shared the ethics requirement for the Clarity Act. The clause aims to prohibit federal officials from issuing or sponsoring digital assets for profit.
🔹 Scope includes the president, vice president, members of Congress, and high-ranking federal officials.
🔹 The ban covers activities of issuing and sponsoring digital assets for profit.
🔹 The Department of Justice will be responsible for implementation.
🔹 The clause was added to the text after negotiations with the White House.
On the Democratic side, some senators, primarily Angela Alsobrooks and Cory Booker, state that the text prepared by the Republicans is still insufficient.
🔹 The ethics clause is unclear regarding family members and existing assets.
🔹 Additional measures are requested regarding illicit finance.
🔹 Stronger provisions are requested regarding consumer protection.
While the White House describes the text as the most comprehensive ethics regulation in its history, Democrats express concern about the exclusion of the role of state attorneys general and the reliance of the implementation mechanism on the Department of Justice model.
The process is currently in the text publication and Senate voting phase. The voting window is narrowing before the early August recess, and further negotiations are expected on ethics, illicit finance, and consumer protection issues for a final agreement.
#ClarityAct
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UAE to Build Two New Deepwater Terminals to Bypass the Strait of Hormuz ✨
The United Arab Emirates will build two new deepwater terminals on its east coast as part of a plan to reduce its reliance on the Strait of Hormuz to zero.
🔹 The project has been agreed in principle between DP World and the Fujairah Port Authority with a 50-year concession.
🔹 Location: Fujairah area on the Gulf of Oman side, the only major UAE port area outside the Strait of Hormuz.
🔹 Terminal 1: Al Rughaylat container and multipurpose terminal with an annual capacity of 2.5 million TEU, 1.7 million tons of general c
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UAE to Build Two New Deepwater Terminals to Bypass the Strait of Hormuz ✨
The United Arab Emirates will build two new deepwater terminals on its east coast as part of a plan to reduce its reliance on the Strait of Hormuz to zero.
🔹 The project has been agreed in principle between DP World and the Fujairah Port Authority with a 50-year concession.
🔹 Location: Fujairah area on the Gulf of Oman side, the only major UAE port area outside the Strait of Hormuz.
🔹 Terminal 1: Al Rughaylat container and multipurpose terminal with an annual capacity of 2.5 million TEU, 1.7 million tons of general cargo, and 190,000 vehicles.
🔹 Terminal 2: Dibba general cargo terminal with an additional annual capacity of 3.6 million tons.
🔹 Construction time: Phased delivery between 24 and 30 months from the start of works.
🔹 Total capacity: Will increase DP World UAE's container capacity from 19.4 million TEU to approximately 22 million TEU.
The Fujairah area has gained strategic importance in recent months following the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The strait carries approximately one-fifth of global oil and gas flows, and traffic has reportedly dropped to as low as 9 ships on days. The UAE and Saudi Arabia are operating existing pipelines at near full capacity and are planning to invest billions of dollars in new lines.
Sources indicate that the UAE is preparing for a future without the Strait of Hormuz. Foreign Trade Minister Thani Al Zeyoudi confirmed the goal of zero dependence on the Strait of Hormuz. The plan includes expanding eastern ports, building new pipelines, and strengthening rail and road connections.
The project is not intended to replace the Jebel Ali port, but rather to provide backup and uninterrupted trade. Cargo arriving at Fujairah will be transported by road and rail to Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and surrounding Gulf countries.
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营
#𝐎𝐈𝐋 #Hormuz
$XTIUSD $XBRUSD $CL
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