KnoxBTC

Since Trump became the first pro-crypto US president:
Bitcoin: -41%
Ethereum: -45%
Altcoins: -80%
S&P 500: +30%
Nasdaq: +42%
Russell: +35%
Gold: +65%
Silver: +123%
$BTC $ETH $XAUT $XAG3S

$BTC
Range play by Bitcoin
I won't enter in any setup until we see a breakout or breakdown

We have 50 days left of this $BTC bear market.

BREAKING: Bitcoin Active Addresses spike from 645K to almost 1M after the Coldcard hack.
$BTC

INSANE: $1 TRILLION has just been added to the U.S. stock market after ISM Manufacturing surged to a four-year high.
The S&P 500 is now just 0.4% away from a new all-time high.
$SPYG

$BTC short
92% of bearish days already had their high in by now, and 91% put the low in later
61,700

Bitcoin dropped 49% from the top and HODLers never had a single week of net selling. Six straight months of accumulation.
$BTC

So how does $ETH look going into FOMC, knowing $ETH /$BTC looks bearish at resistance?
Finish the sentence:
"$ETH looks like ______."

$BTC has confirmed a 4h break of structure after losing the $63.8K support that held multiple times.

$BTC
Very Important area here for a reclaim or a brutal rejection. A sweep of the last supply area + Golden pocket from the top swing high, watch for a clear rejection here and then we are good to go to short the market.
If somehow, we close above this level of $65.8k then we are good to target those highs and proceed towards $71k

This is my FINAL Bitcoin warning.
Why? This $BTC Strategy NEVER failed.
Buy 500 days before the halving.
Sell 500 days after the halving.

$BTC has not completely broken through the current sell wall. The current sell wall exists up to 64.8k.

The net position delta of $BTC has fallen further.
The short-term trend in the futures market remains downward

Although $ETH is moving sideway, the RSI is rising.
The situation is not bad. Buying strength is increasing.

$BTC Low Liquidity Clusters
Like clockwork, MM's hit that exit liquidity at 67k...
Next on the docket, 61.6-63k.

$BTC
Price is about to close back below $65K.
The grey zone has been our most crucial support level and would have been important to hold in order for price to push above $67.3K and break the HTF downtrend.
Instead, it now looks like we're about to lose this level. Should price close below $64.7K on the 4H and get rejected on a retest, we'll likely see a pullback into the $62K–$61K area.
This is currently our main liquidity target and offers a high probability of another bounce.
My plan is to wait until the breakdown is confirmed. Once I get additional confluence, I'll open a short targeting

$BTC Bitcoin Halving Strategy: Historical Backtest
2016 Halving
Buy 500 days before: ~$200
Sell 500 days after: ~$2,500
Return: ~12×
2020 Halving
Buy 500 days before: ~$4,000
Sell 500 days after: ~$55,000
Return: ~13×
2024 Halving
Buy 500 days before: ~$17,000
Sell 500 days after: ~$126,000
Return: ~7×
Based on this strategy, the next potential entry point, 500 days before the expected 2028 Bitcoin halving, would be around October 2026.

$BTC : great initial reaction but it couldn’t sustain. Now at my second POI where it better hold, otherwise will be looking for a full rotation towards 59s. Don’t get bearish too early

Not great on $BTC and $ETH but we are starting to dig lower and close out our nPOC levels to the downside.
Everyone wants up only, I get it. But closing these levels before higher will insure we have a long and more sustainable move back to the upside.
Patience for now.