Recently, many people have attributed this downturn to Anthropic's IPO, believing that an IPO of this scale will drain market liquidity.

I think this is just one factor, not the main reason driving this downturn.

I said before that changes in the U.S. political landscape may be more important to watch than a single IPO when it comes to their impact on the crypto market.

Trump lost control of both chambers of Congress in this midterm election. Democrats will step up investigations into the Trump administration, including crypto investments and related businesses linked to the Trump family.

This kind of Chinese-style education is heartbreaking.

I used this tool to ladder in bitcoin:native
3 filled out of 4.

Leverage has been completely liquidated, and the bloodied chips have changed hands—the rebound officially begins.

Ethereum is back above $1,800.

The panic posts flooding the internet over the past few days—“the five major exchanges are selling; it’s going below 50k”—were essentially meant to shake out the last batch of high-leverage longs and weak-handed retail investors.

The ride is lighter now, and the major players have accumulated enough bloodied chips. The real rally has only just begun. Those who sold at the peak of panic will soon be kicking themselves and buying back in at higher pr

Macro Nexus: Unraveling the Invisible Threads Connecting the AI Boom, Nvidia Drama, CPI, and Crypto Liquidity

Markets do not move in isolation. When retail traders stare at a red crypto liquidation candle or a sudden Bitcoin dump, they often look only at exchange order books. But capital flows like water through a vast, interconnected plumbing system.

Let's connect the dots across Anthropic's IPO roadshow, Nvidia executive governance turmoil, the looming "AI Bubble" narrative, U.S. CPI inflation prints, and the resulting crypto market shockwaves.

1. The Epicenter: The AI Infrastructure Mach

Only 5 of 59 coins are up, $ADA volume ratio 2.671, and I still choose to be bullish
$ADA at 0.1497, 24h -8.216%. Only 5 of 59 coins across the market are in the green, the Fear & Greed Index is 10, and in this defensive period with the whole market getting hammered, I still choose to be bullish on $ADA.

24h trading volume is 42282961 USDT, 2.671 times the 30-day average, expanding—buyers are still stepping in despite this drop. Funding rate is -0.00011437, meaning shorts are paying longs; OI is down 1.78%, and the long/short account ratio is 2.0148. With 7d at -14.6% and 30d at -33.67%, the

$BTC After a sharp drop, price bounced back—and liquidation zones above and below have lit up! BTC quickly rebounded from around 62,000. Around 66,700 above, shorts face a test! Around 61,600 below, leveraged positions are still clustered. Whether this rally can continue depends on how far the rebound can go! Our 24-hour liquidation heatmap shows BTC quickly recovering to around 65,000 after dipping near $62,000. The selected points on the chart show estimated liquidation leverage of about $63.86 million around $66,691 and about $32.14 million around $61,571. Both are potential liquidation zon

After this run to 76,000, I closed everything. I only hedged; I didn’t short.

Can someone teach me how to short? Coming from the A-share market, shorting is my weak spot.

Shorting is a kind of original sin for me.

The only short I held onto this time was Unitree, because I got stuck in it.

I shorted a steel-plated big toy😂😂😂

#btc $btc The upward direction will be confirmed in the next 4-hour candle... It’s not clear right now; at 15:00

Good morning friends.
Rise and shine.

$ETH 📈 Resistance levels: 1825 / 1918
📉 Support levels: 1710 / 1650
⚖️ Strength: Higher timeframe in the ICU, lower timeframe staging a last-gasp rally.
🛡️ Strategy:
Short on rallies! Short if it rebounds to 1830-1860, with a hard stop at 1880.
Want to catch the bottom? Wait for it to drop to 1710; if it tests that level and holds, take a small position. If it breaks below 1700, get out fast.
💬
· “Don’t rush to catch the bottom—the falling knife is still in the air. Wait until it hits the ground and leaves a dent before picking it up.”
· “After falling this badly, any rebound is just hand

Everyone says the market is booming, but few can calmly take profits.
$BTC $ETH
This week’s report card is in, right on schedule.
It’s rare to get such a comfortable run: BTC and ETH swung back and forth between longs and shorts, offering plenty of room to capture gains;
To be honest, one trade on Friday also took a small drawdown. Live trading has its ups and downs—no trade goes smoothly every time. There were also small pullbacks along the way. Tides rise and fall; that’s simply how markets work. No road in life is ever entirely smooth.
“Those skilled in battle first make themselves invinci

$HYPE This move also couldn’t escape the market-wide sell-off😥

Over the weekend, it fell all the way from around $73 to $60. The several rebounds along the way failed to change the pattern of lower highs

But I think there’s another detail about HYPE worth watching: early this morning, the price quickly broke below $62, hitting a low near $60 before rapidly bouncing back and leaving a pronounced long lower wick on the 4H candlestick

This shows that buyers did step in around $60

However, considering the previous price action, this lower wick isn’t enough to prove that the bulls have regaine

$BTC Will it finally bounce? Looking at the Bitcoin chart, we see a real waterfall. It shows that the price has been falling continuously for about a month. So, will we finally see a green candle here? Could the price bounce from here? This support zone seems to be the only place that could hold here. A second pullback will happen here. If the price can stay slightly above this level afterward, we could see an uptrend. If it breaks below this level, the new target price is 50k.

$ETH This sell-off is getting pretty ugly😥

Over the weekend, BTC continued to slide, hitting a low near $1,710, down more than 6% on the day

But I’m more focused on the ETH/BTC exchange rate:

A few days ago, although ETH fell alongside the market, its exchange rate remained fairly resilient, showing some signs of relative strength; but in this latest sell-off, ETH fell significantly more than BTC, and the exchange rate came under renewed pressure

Looking at the candlestick chart, the 4-hour timeframe has seen a series of large bearish candles. Although it rebounded quickly from the low th

What I regret most now is coming to the Philippines to start a business. Damn, I ran a nickel mine for five years, and in the end it still had to close. If I’d used the money I invested back then to buy Bitcoin, then, then, then how much would it be worth now? Back in 2019, it was only a little over $4,000 each. So if I could choose again, I definitely wouldn’t run a business. But no step in life is wasted; every step counts. So what I tell my son is: invest the money you make from Bitcoin in other people’s businesses. Whatever you do, don’t start one yourself

Q’s valuation (forward P/E) has reached its lowest range in 6 years (Figure 1). EPS expectations (Figure 2) remain optimistic, but growth may have already peaked (Figure 3; in my view, this is the main reason for the recent valuation compression).
It’s somewhat like 2018, but also not quite (another midterm election year). The similarity is that 2018 was also a year of “excellent EPS, but severe multiple compression.” Then, amid hopes for the new year, the Q4 crash arrived. The crash was mainly driven by macro shocks: rate hike expectations, the trade war, and the economy “seemingly” weakening