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$BTC An interesting battle between the moving averages. Which one gives way first? Price is now being compressed between the two.
The H4 200 MA could be the level that triggers fresh local lows if lost, while reclaiming the H4 50 MA could open the door to fresh local highs.
Given the broader higher-timeframe structural shift, I’d favour a reclaim of the 50 MA.
However, both moving averages have been respected as clear areas of support and resistance, making this a key battle to watch.

$PUMP
Our initial entry was around $0.003379, supported by multiple confluences, including a key support level and the Daily 50 MA.
We could be approaching a similar setup, with the Daily 50 MA now sitting just above the $0.0046 support zone as well as the 0.618 fib.
I’m watching this area closely for a potential buy trigger before considering another entry.

It feels as though the crypto market is already shifting into risk-off mode, despite several higher-timeframe confluences suggesting a potential shift in market structure.
$ALTS / #TOTAL3 is now trading into support. Under normal circumstances, this would be an area to consider buying the dip, but I’m struggling to find the conviction or see any clear evidence of buyers stepping in.
Is this simply part of the psychological game the market plays? Bull markets are rarely straightforward. They test your conviction, create uncertainty and often force you to question your own bias.
That said, if $7

$BTC
Range lows are continuing to provide support, while the POC remains a significant resistance level.
Ideally, we need to reclaim the POC and establish acceptance above it. Continued acceptance below this level would increase the probability of further downside.

$BTC Market Update
BTC has reclaimed the value area following the flush to the range lows. The POC remains a key resistance for now, but price is holding above the 12/21 EMAs, which have just crossed bullish again on the H4.
We’re seeing some tight compression between the POC overhead and the EMAs below. The next move should help determine whether we have the momentum to push higher.
With US markets closed today, be mindful of potentially thinner liquidity and how that may impact lower-timeframe price action.
What I’m watching:
Bullish: A reclaim of the POC would strengthen the case for anothe

On a serious note, yesterday’s dump on $BTC shouldn’t have caught as many people off guard as it did.
We’re still ranging, and volatility within a range is to be expected. The key is to remain focused on the levels that matter rather than reacting emotionally to every move.
The real concern would be losing 81.2K and finding acceptance back inside the previous range. That would open the door to a move towards the range lows around 76.5K.
Until then, patience and level-to-level trading remain key.

$BTC
Price looks to be beginning to find acceptance below the value area.
If this continues, my next downside targets for a potential bounce sit around 81.2K–81.6K. This zone aligns with the higher-timeframe range lows and the H4 200 MA, which has continued to act as support throughout this upside move.
For now, the key level to reclaim is the 82.8K area lows. Unless we can quickly reclaim and hold above this level, I’ll be watching the 81.2K–81.6K region for the next potential reaction.

$ETH is now trading directly into the H4 200 MA, a crucial support level to hold.
If we lose this level and begin accepting below it, I’d expect price to move back into the previous range, with the $2,525–$2,360 area becoming the key downside zone to watch.
For now, the H4 200 MA remains the key level.

I think $ALTS could be gearing up for the next leg higher.
Looking at $OTHERS, the price action remains clean. Since reclaiming the key 182.5B support/resistance level, we have consistently seen periods of consolidation followed by expansion, and this pattern has continued throughout the broader move higher.
We are now back in a consolidation phase, which could be setting the stage for another expansion and the next leg higher.
However, when we zoom out to the weekly timeframe, we can see that price is now approaching a significant higher-timeframe resistance level.
If the current consolidatio

$BTC Once we start seeing H4 candle closes above 86.7K, I believe the next leg higher could be aggressive and highly impulsive, particularly across many of the stronger-performing Alts.
Personally, I don’t expect a meaningful correction until that move has played out and we reach the next major weekly resistance around 93.7K.
By that point, I’d expect many of the stronger Alts to have already moved significantly higher from current levels before eventually following Bitcoin into a broader correction phase.

$ETH looks to be gearing up for another attempt at testing those swing highs.
The reasoning is straightforward: price has broken above the value area and has since successfully retested the area highs (VAH) multiple times, with H4 candles continuing to close above the level.
From here, I’ll be watching the retest of 2.8K closely. If we can gain clear acceptance above this level, it would provide confirmation for the next upside move to begin.
If we fail to hold above 2.8K, however, I’d expect another rejection back into the value area and continued range-bound price action.

When people ask why I believe $ALTS could have a strong year ahead, I simply point them towards this $OTHERSBTC chart.
So far, we’re seeing an almost identical fractal to the period following the Fed ending QT in 2019.
That period marked the bottom of the broader downtrend and preceded a significant phase of altcoin outperformance against $BTC .
Altcoins thrive when liquidity conditions improve and since QT ended, we’ve already started to see signs of that relative strength.
What’s particularly interesting is that the truly explosive, impulsive moves from 2019 didn’t begin until roughly 500 day