Dannyw

In this bear market, no one is caring about the future anymore
In the last bear market, everyone went through the wealth baptism of NFTs, the metaverse, gaming, social, public chains, and DeFi
They all thought it was just the beginning, and the next bull market would definitely bring more imaginative narratives
But ideals are lofty, and reality is harsh, from L2, Ethereum re-staking, to BTCFi
This round of narratives has completely become a harvest tool for the little guys

In April, U.S. stocks have been quite impressive in both trading volume and gains,
$BTC so there’s no reason not to play catch-up and make up for the gains—an increase of 25-30% is reasonable.
Will there be a massive surge in May? It would definitely have to be beyond what most people understand to count as a huge rally. Actually, it’s pretty much there already, because more than 90% of people don’t believe it will rise. It could be a stage bottom. There isn’t anything particularly big negative—MicroStrategy has been buying the whole time, so things can only keep getting better.

Today is a super news day full of negative signals
The probability of Powell raising interest rates + Trump attacking Iran + profit-taking in US stocks crashing the market = collective plunge in financial markets
The crypto world BTC Bitcoin also collapsed, dropping to a low of 75,000, looking as if the sky is falling
But if Bitcoin can still hold at 75,000 despite so many negative factors, that's still somewhat acceptable,
79,500 - 75,500 = a drop of 4,000 dollars, this time high-leverage contract traders all got liquidated, the market maker is really ruthless.

What did I say? Everything is going according to the script!
The target level of $73,195 was hit precisely!
The rebound is over, and Bitcoin is about to start forming a bottom. Get ready to embrace the real bottom.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you. Three years ago, I called the $15,768 bottom and the $126,162 top — the only one in the entire network.

1. Regarding the price of Bitcoin: I think it hasn't peaked yet, but I believe it can still rise by about 10% at most;
2. Regarding Bitcoin's trend: I think the upcoming period will basically be a pretty bad time, and trading will also be less suitable for speculation;
3. Regarding operations: For those with long positions at the bottom, taking profits, moving stop-losses up, or exiting to watch the show are all correct. For those without positions at the bottom, now is not a good time to participate (my personal approach is to trade lightly with small positions and tight stops, betting on the

Reason analysis is as follows:
The market hasn’t dropped because institutions and existing funds are propping it up, but there’s no new external liquidity (Federal Reserve easing + institutions going on a buying frenzy). As a result, BTC is hard to break above. Price increases require incremental capital; the current liquidity environment has existing funds but no strong new inflows.
The market projection is a ranging/oscillating pattern. For the short term, it’s suitable for high-selling and low-buying, not for chasing longs in a trend. #加密市场行情震荡

币安人生：听说身边很多大户都下车了，昨天王小二也公开卖了一些，不过他买入1m才卖了0.5m，本都没出出来，现在还有0.34
Giggle：属于跟车，跟的也不太强势，现在39
Koma：昨天上aster，刚刚熬鹰喊单，价格往上走了一点点，但是感觉庄没动手，都是散户进的，现在0.011
Rave：费率依然是负的，空的人还是那么多，现在14
Ordi：底部上来翻了一倍了
siren：oi在降，价格在慢慢往上爬，费率正的
aria：据说是庄跑了，这一轮应该结束了

What did I say? Everything is going according to the script!
Target position of $73,195, precisely hit!
The rebound is over, Bitcoin is about to start forming a bottom, get ready to embrace the real bottom.
Don't say I didn't warn you, three years ago I called a big bottom at $15,768, and there's also a top at $126,162, the only one in the entire network.

With BTC at 65,000, and ETH at 1,800, the whole network is unified in expecting 30k—at 45,000. I know this is the bottom, very safe. It’s time to start a huge counterattack; a big rebound is already here. The market is just like this: when it drops too much, you keep looking bearish; when it rises too much, you blindly go long. These contrarian big-name experts make absolute big money by doing the opposite of what they’re all saying. When they start to think the outlook is good, we have to run. This month’s rebound still needs to keep going—slowly. In June, it will start to drain again. With t

$BTC Last night, I shorted around 72k. The CPI interest rate last night was 3.3%, and it didn’t drop like I thought—instead, it pushed up to 73.4k. I got filled on all my short orders; my average cost is at 72.5k.
I think it’ll harden for a bit over the weekend, then drop. Even if you didn’t short, you can still short around the current 72.5k—at least you can see that most of the short orders’ chips at the 71–70k top are being liquidated. If it goes higher, it’ll be the 74k chip zone. The rally is just a reaction to the Fed rate-cut expectations not being suppressed → actual interest rates fa

Let's analyze how this round of BTC and ETH oscillations may play out using the trend cost band of the dark flow.
The accumulation trend is ongoing. The BTC trend accumulation average price is 70781, and the lower edge of the cost band—i.e., the stop-loss price—is 69727. The upper edge breakout price is 71836.
ETH average is 2178, the lower edge is 2145, and the upper edge is 2210. The price will most likely continue to oscillate within this range. #加密市场小幅下跌

$ETH
Currently, it appears to be a fairly normal retracement phase. The key point should be the rebound situation of the current 4H K-line.
The 2160 area was a clear resistance zone before. After breaking through, a retest here to test for a reversal possibility is quite normal. Observe the retest of the 4H K-line around 12:00 to determine whether it's a false breakout or a pullback rebound first.

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 But BTC has not yet entered a bullish, one-sided upward trend, because the 1-day MACD has not yet climbed above the zero line to form a large divergence pattern (duckbill shape). Fortunately, this time ETH is leading the way, with the 1-day MACD crossing above the zero line first, and the daily chart showing strength + weekly golden cross. As long as the smaller timeframes below 1 hour show strength, this market is dominated by bulls and is in a strong upward trend. This indicates that on the 30-minute and 15-minute charts, a minor pullback can be used to enter long positions, a

History has proven:
The 2018 bear market, with prices falling from a high point
Multiple rebounds along the way, but the monthly chart never truly turned upward
As a result, the rebounds ended with new lows, until the final accelerated decline bottomed out
The same applies to 2022
Multiple staged rebounds that looked like reversals
But the monthly trend remained downward
Those who entered early were either trapped or repeatedly drained
The real bull market
Always begins with a monthly trend that stops falling → stabilizes → turns upward
Not by feeling to catch the bottom during a decline#Gate广

Weekly BTC Market Summary:
3.30-4.5 BTC Price Movement: Started at 66,500, peaked at 69,300, dropped to 65,000, currently at 67,000.
This week had the smallest fluctuation in recent times, especially on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, when trading volume was sluggish and volatility narrowed. It feels somewhat pessimistic, teetering on the edge, with a sense that it could break at any moment.

In the crypto world, the only skill that truly measures a person is their ability to make money. Whether it's paid training camps or consulting, you're just a fool and you don't even deserve to charge 😒.
Use your brain a little more. You've already been exposed, and you're still following the same old domestic tricks—like making accounts and such. There's nothing worth paying for. As long as you're diligent and hardworking, you can do pretty well. Those looking for shortcuts will only end up as stepping stones for others #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 .

Mid-term outlook remains unchanged:
There is still a major crash ahead, but the timing is not yet here. After the big drop, buy the dip in spot markets—only go long.
Short-term outlook: The range hasn't broken down yet and may rebound. The magnitude is unknown, but I expect the 79,000-84,000 range, which offers an excellent risk-reward ratio.
Since the decline began on March 17, trading volume has remained low, even less than during the previous drop to 74,000. If a breakout occurs, a sharp decline is expected, which should involve more supply on the right side than in the middle segment.

$ETH
Last night, it dropped to 2012. When I woke up at 5 a.m., there was already a green candle on the 4H middle band, and I thought it was likely to go back up again.
This indeed confirms the previous idea. Currently, a double top pattern has formed, which often appears, and the market hasn't closed yet.
As for resistance, I personally set it at 2080. If it breaks through, 2110 should no longer act as resistance. The double top structure is a shorting opportunity. If I want to short again next time, I’ll wait for a situation like the one in the left chart.

Medium-term outlook remains unchanged:
There is still a major crash ahead, but the time has not yet arrived. After the big drop, buy the dip in spot markets—only go long.
Short-term outlook: The range still cannot be broken downward, and there will be a rebound. The height is unknown, but I expect the 79,000-84,000 range, which offers an excellent risk-reward ratio.
Since the decline began on March 17, trading volume has remained low, even less than during the previous drop to 74,000. If the range is to be broken, a significant drop should follow, with more supply on the right side than in the