Dannyw

If you are a multiple-time frame trader and think that Bitcoin's short-term trend is very weak, I need to tell you to put yourself in the other person's shoes: two weeks ago, at the end of April, Bitcoin between 78,200 and 78,800 was considered a high level because the 3-day moving average resistance at 79,400 had not been broken through.
And two weeks have passed, just two weeks, and 78,800 has only been retested once, and that was the day before yesterday when, under the influence of negative news, it temporarily broke below 79,150 before bouncing back.
It took two weeks to get a long op

In this bear market, no one is caring about the future anymore
In the last bear market, everyone went through the wealth baptism of NFTs, the metaverse, gaming, social media, public chains, and DeFi
They all thought it was just the beginning, and the next bull market would definitely bring more imaginative narratives
But ideals are lofty, and reality is harsh, from L2, Ethereum re-staking, to BTCFi
This round of narratives has completely become a harvest tool for the little guys

After the non-farm payrolls are released, the bulls will continue their attack next week and the week after. This time, the pullback stopped near the 4-hour support at 79,200, which is equivalent to a retest of 78,800 to confirm the support and stabilize. Then, a second test of 82,000 will lead to a new high. The target of 84,000-86,000 remains unchanged.

In early April, I predicted that 95% of people would miss the entire round of this rally in 2026. This month, that view has been revised up to 99%. Because the overwhelming majority of the short positions cultivated in the middle of 10–2 months are in the mix, 80,000 (8w) is an important threshold—once it’s taken, it serves as a bridge between the past and the future: on the way up, you can reach 91,000–96,000; if it retreats, 74,000 can still be held. Many people won’t bottom-fish below 67,000, and even less so above 80,000. In the next few months, the swing highs will only keep getting highe

In April, both trading volume and gains in the U.S. stock market were quite impressive,
$BTC There's no reason not to catch up on the rally, a 25-30% increase is reasonable.
Will there be a big surge in May? A surge is only considered to be when it exceeds most people's expectations; actually, it's about there because over 90% of people don't believe it will rise. It might be a stage bottom, with no particularly bad negative news. MicroStrategy has been continuously buying, and things can only get better.

Bitcoin has already reached 81,500. All the long positions in the 75,000–76,000 range have been fully closed, and it’s time to rest. That’s exactly what Da Bing said—when it’s time to rest, we rest.
Tomorrow is the first day of the workweek. After that,
On May 6th, 7th, and 8th, “Er Bing” ETH may catch up and rise to 2,450–2,500. Once “Er Bing”’s catch-up rally is over, this two-month bull market will also be over.
Don’t rush to short, don’t rush to short.
Wait until Ethereum has finished its catch-up rally, and after this weekend,
next Monday, May 11th, go short again.

In April, both trading volume and gains in the U.S. stock market were quite impressive,
$BTC There's no reason not to catch up on the rally, a 25-30% increase is reasonable.
Will there be a big surge in May? It can only be considered a surge if it exceeds most people's expectations; actually, it's about there, because over 90% of people don't believe it will rise. It might be a stage bottom, with no particularly major negative news, MicroStrategy has been continuously buying, and things can only get better.

In this bear market, nobody cares about the future anymore.
In the last bear market, everyone went through the wealth cleansing of NFTs, the metaverse, gaming, social media, public chains, and DeFi.
Everyone thought it was only just starting, and the next bull market would definitely bring more imaginative narratives.
But ideals are full and rosy; reality is harsh: from L2, to Ethereum restaking, to BTCFi.
This round of narratives has completely become a reaper for small fry.

In this bear market, no one is caring about the future anymore
In the last bear market, everyone went through the wealth baptism of NFTs, the metaverse, gaming, social, public chains, and DeFi
They all thought it was just the beginning, and the next bull market would definitely bring more imaginative narratives
But ideals are lofty, and reality is harsh, from L2, Ethereum re-staking, to BTCFi
This round of narratives has completely become a harvest tool for the little guys

In April, U.S. stocks have been quite impressive in both trading volume and gains,
$BTC so there’s no reason not to play catch-up and make up for the gains—an increase of 25-30% is reasonable.
Will there be a massive surge in May? It would definitely have to be beyond what most people understand to count as a huge rally. Actually, it’s pretty much there already, because more than 90% of people don’t believe it will rise. It could be a stage bottom. There isn’t anything particularly big negative—MicroStrategy has been buying the whole time, so things can only keep getting better.

Today is a super news day full of negative signals
The probability of Powell raising interest rates + Trump attacking Iran + profit-taking in US stocks crashing the market = collective plunge in financial markets
The crypto world BTC Bitcoin also collapsed, dropping to a low of 75,000, looking as if the sky is falling
But if Bitcoin can still hold at 75,000 despite so many negative factors, that's still somewhat acceptable,
79,500 - 75,500 = a drop of 4,000 dollars, this time high-leverage contract traders all got liquidated, the market maker is really ruthless.

What did I say? Everything is going according to the script!
The target level of $73,195 was hit precisely!
The rebound is over, and Bitcoin is about to start forming a bottom. Get ready to embrace the real bottom.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you. Three years ago, I called the $15,768 bottom and the $126,162 top — the only one in the entire network.

1. Regarding the price of Bitcoin: I think it hasn't peaked yet, but I believe it can still rise by about 10% at most;
2. Regarding Bitcoin's trend: I think the upcoming period will basically be a pretty bad time, and trading will also be less suitable for speculation;
3. Regarding operations: For those with long positions at the bottom, taking profits, moving stop-losses up, or exiting to watch the show are all correct. For those without positions at the bottom, now is not a good time to participate (my personal approach is to trade lightly with small positions and tight stops, betting on the

Reason analysis is as follows:
The market hasn’t dropped because institutions and existing funds are propping it up, but there’s no new external liquidity (Federal Reserve easing + institutions going on a buying frenzy). As a result, BTC is hard to break above. Price increases require incremental capital; the current liquidity environment has existing funds but no strong new inflows.
The market projection is a ranging/oscillating pattern. For the short term, it’s suitable for high-selling and low-buying, not for chasing longs in a trend. #加密市场行情震荡

币安人生：听说身边很多大户都下车了，昨天王小二也公开卖了一些，不过他买入1m才卖了0.5m，本都没出出来，现在还有0.34
Giggle：属于跟车，跟的也不太强势，现在39
Koma：昨天上aster，刚刚熬鹰喊单，价格往上走了一点点，但是感觉庄没动手，都是散户进的，现在0.011
Rave：费率依然是负的，空的人还是那么多，现在14
Ordi：底部上来翻了一倍了
siren：oi在降，价格在慢慢往上爬，费率正的
aria：据说是庄跑了，这一轮应该结束了

币安人生：听说身边很多大户都下车了，昨天王小二也公开卖了一些，不过他买入1m才卖了0.5m，本都没出出来，现在还有0.34
Giggle：属于跟车，跟的也不太强势，现在39
Koma：昨天上aster，刚刚熬鹰喊单，价格往上走了一点点，但是感觉庄没动手，都是散户进的，现在0.011
Rave：费率依然是负的，空的人还是那么多，现在14
Ordi：底部上来翻了一倍了
siren：oi在降，价格在慢慢往上爬，费率正的
aria：据说是庄跑了，这一轮应该结束了

What did I say? Everything is going according to the script!
Target position of $73,195, precisely hit!
The rebound is over, Bitcoin is about to start forming a bottom, get ready to embrace the real bottom.
Don't say I didn't warn you, three years ago I called a big bottom at $15,768, and there's also a top at $126,162, the only one in the entire network.

With BTC at 65,000, and ETH at 1,800, the whole network is unified in expecting 30k—at 45,000. I know this is the bottom, very safe. It’s time to start a huge counterattack; a big rebound is already here. The market is just like this: when it drops too much, you keep looking bearish; when it rises too much, you blindly go long. These contrarian big-name experts make absolute big money by doing the opposite of what they’re all saying. When they start to think the outlook is good, we have to run. This month’s rebound still needs to keep going—slowly. In June, it will start to drain again. With t

$BTC Last night, I shorted around 72k. The CPI interest rate last night was 3.3%, and it didn’t drop like I thought—instead, it pushed up to 73.4k. I got filled on all my short orders; my average cost is at 72.5k.
I think it’ll harden for a bit over the weekend, then drop. Even if you didn’t short, you can still short around the current 72.5k—at least you can see that most of the short orders’ chips at the 71–70k top are being liquidated. If it goes higher, it’ll be the 74k chip zone. The rally is just a reaction to the Fed rate-cut expectations not being suppressed → actual interest rates fa

Let's analyze how this round of BTC and ETH oscillations may play out using the trend cost band of the dark flow.
The accumulation trend is ongoing. The BTC trend accumulation average price is 70781, and the lower edge of the cost band—i.e., the stop-loss price—is 69727. The upper edge breakout price is 71836.
ETH average is 2178, the lower edge is 2145, and the upper edge is 2210. The price will most likely continue to oscillate within this range. #加密市场小幅下跌