CtWinner

vip
Active for: 2.3y
Peak Tier 2
Don't trust any line-drawing strategies, whether small or big gains, keep grinding, and work hard to learn the US stock market.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, while the market expected only around 55,000, nearly three times higher than expected; the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%
Based on this data alone, it is actually short-term bearish for BTC
The reason is straightforward: Nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations → U.S. employment is stronger than the market thought → the Federal Reserve has no need to rush into rate cuts → rate-cut expectations cool → U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar face upward pressure → BTC comes under short-term pressure
But there is an easily overlooked point:
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U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29 stood at 206k on September 3, above the market expectation of 205k and the highest level since the week ending August 15
Although only slightly higher than expected, the signal is relatively clear: the U.S. labor market is beginning to cool at the margin. This is slightly bullish for BTC in the short term, because cooling employment will further strengthen market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. If the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields weaken in tandem, risk appetite could recover, making it easier for BTC to gain support
Howe
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BTC just rapidly pulled back from around $81k, and market sentiment has clearly cooled.
However, there is no need to immediately interpret this decline as a trend reversal. It looks more like a combination of profit-taking after the surge, leveraged liquidations, and changes in macro expectations.
BTC previously surged rapidly from around $60k to above $80k, making the short-term gain very substantial. Long positions in the market increased significantly, so it is not surprising that funds bought at lower levels earlier chose to take profits near $80k. At the same time, stop-losses and forced
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Something's not right, guys
The second target is about to be reached
Confirmed: the bull market is back
Next target: straight to $100,000
$BTC
#BTC breaks above $77000
CtWinner
BTC has climbed back to around $68k, with a high near $68.8k
The recent rebound indeed has several catalysts: ETF inflows have resumed, market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes have cooled somewhat, and the Trump administration continues to advance crypto-friendly regulations.
First target: $70k–72,000 From 64k → 70k, it only requires an approximately 9% gain. If BTC can hold steadily above 68k, then 70k is a very natural psychological level.
Second target: $75k–78k If there is no significant surge in selling volume after breaking above 70K, the next target is 75K–78K.
This phase would mean that the market has begun shifting from an “oversold rebound” to “expectations of a trend reversal.”
If Trump-related policies continue to deliver positive developments, ETF net inflows resume consistently, and expectations for Fed rate cuts or a pause in rate hikes strengthen further, BTC could very well challenge above 80K again.
The market has not yet fully confirmed the restart of the bull market.
If BTC breaks above and holds 70K effectively, rather than briefly surging before immediately falling back, then 75K–80K is likely. Conversely, if it repeatedly fails to break through 68K–70K, this is merely a short-term short squeeze, and a return to around 64K or even 60K would not be unusual.
Another point worth noting: recent market reports show that BTC’s resilience above 64K has strengthened somewhat, but ETF flows and macro risks have still not fully shifted into a strongly bullish environment.
Do not chase the rally now simply because of “positive Trump developments”; instead, focus on observing the quality of the breakout above 70K.
$BTC
#BTC升破69000美元日内涨幅6.43%
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Today, this century-defining scandal that swept through China’s financial and real estate sectors reached its first-instance verdict: Xu Jiayin was sentenced to life imprisonment, deprived of political rights for life, and ordered to forfeit all personal assets.
This was not the downfall of an ordinary businessman, but the ultimate reckoning for an era of high leverage, financial fraud, and rampant cash-outs.
The more glamorous his Hermès belts once were, the more bleak his life behind bars is today.
Evergrande’s Ponzi feast has come to an end, leaving behind a $2.4 trillion mess and countless
BTC has climbed back to around $68k, with a high near $68.8k
The recent rebound indeed has several catalysts: ETF inflows have resumed, market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes have cooled somewhat, and the Trump administration continues to advance crypto-friendly regulations.
First target: $70k–72,000 From 64k → 70k, it only requires an approximately 9% gain. If BTC can hold steadily above 68k, then 70k is a very natural psychological level.
Second target: $75k–78k If there is no significant surge in selling volume after breaking above 70K, the next target is 75K–78K.
This p
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U.S. storage stocks plunge across the board?
$SNDK -5%+ $WDC -4%+ $MU -4%+ $STX -4%+ $SKH -4%+
At first glance, it looks like the logic behind the storage sector has broken down, but I think it’s not that simple.
Storage stocks just experienced a major rally yesterday, with SNDK up 8.9% on the day, MU up 4.1%, and WDC up 5.4%, while SNDK had already gained approximately 35% over the previous five trading days.
So what deserves more attention today is not why they are falling, but this: after such a significant rally, are funds simply taking profits, or are they beginning to exit the AI hardwar
SNDK+1.87%
WDC+2.37%
MU+2.13%
STX-0.04%
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CoreWeave CRWV surged over 20% in a single day, gapping higher and continuing to rally at elevated levels on strong second-quarter results and guidance, emerging as the undisputed leader in the AI cloud computing sector.
Market sentiment: Extremely bullish
Key signal: Second-quarter revenue comprehensively beat expectations, while management simultaneously raised its full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance significantly.
Analysis: GPU computing rental contracts from large-model startups and tech giants surged explosively in the second quarter.
CoreWeave’s higher CapEx strongly confirms tha
CRWV-4.12%
CPI data is out—no blowups, no surprises
Overall inflation came in at 3.4%, slightly below last month’s 3.5%, meaning that prices overall are still trending downward.
Core inflation was 2.5%. After excluding volatile gasoline and vegetable prices, the actual increase in prices fell to 2.5%, reaching a new low in recent years.
For the crypto market, no bad news is the best news.
The Federal Reserve previously hesitated to cut interest rates because it feared inflation might rebound. Now that inflation has declined for two consecutive months and U.S. employment data released last week has also s
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Trading sideways now
Making a short-term trade to take a bite
$BTC
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MicroStrategy sold another 1,690 Bitcoin last week, bringing its balance to 840,447 BTC
Bitcoin remains MicroStrategy’s core asset
When MicroStrategy’s selling can no longer shake the uptrend,
that means the bear market has turned into a bull market
$BTC
#美国ADP就业仅增4.4万
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Pain plus reflection equals progress
Ray Dalio, founder of the world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater, once shared in his book Principles the most devastating bankruptcy experience of his career.
In 1982, based on macro debt data, Dalio determined that countries such as Mexico would experience massive debt defaults, and firmly believed this would trigger a severe recession in the U.S. economy and a major crash in U.S. stocks.
He made high-profile public predictions in the media and established highly leveraged short positions in the market.
Mexico did default, but the Federal Reserve's respons
In investment trading, always prioritize defense over offensive hedging
Legendary fund manager Paul Tudor Jones once achieved an astonishing track record in financial history
During Black Monday in the U.S. stock market in October 1987, his Tudor Futures Fund not only remained unscathed but also delivered an astonishing 62% return in a single month.
Several months before the crash, the Jones team studied market models from before the Great Depression of 1929 and discovered that index valuations, leverage ratios, and the Federal Reserve’s tightening policy were converging in an extremely danger
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BTC price is consolidating narrowly in the $64,800–$65,400 range, with trading volume declining somewhat over the weekend.
Market sentiment: Neutral / range-bound accumulation
Key signal: Macro rate-cut expectations adjusted slightly after the nonfarm payrolls report, spot ETF subscriptions and redemptions were suspended over the weekend, and selling pressure in the market has largely been exhausted.
Analysis: As the core anchor of global liquidity, Bitcoin is currently completing accumulation near the $65k mark. Exchange balances remain at historic lows, with no structural weakening among lon
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Uniswap UNI price is trading in the 3.90–4.15 range, demonstrating strong downside resilience and an independent oscillating trend.
Market sentiment: Strongly bullish / fundamentally driven
Key signal: The sharp divergence between traditional equities and the broader crypto market has triggered on-chain permissionless hedging, while the protocol’s fee-capturing capacity remains strong.
Analysis: The on-chain cash flow logic of decentralized exchanges is being revalued by capital. As centralized regulatory costs rise, Uniswap continues to serve as a defensive safe-haven asset amid extreme marke
UNI-3.71%
U.S.-listed Shopify (SHOP) shares gapped higher at the open and surged throughout the day, soaring 17.0% in a single session on sharply increased volume to lead the entire internet e-commerce and software sectors.
Market sentiment: Strongly bullish
Key signals: Second-quarter adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.42 (beating the $0.39 expected), while quarterly revenue reached $3.58 billion (a robust 25% year-over-year increase). Merchant GMV (gross merchandise volume) and the free cash flow margin both significantly exceeded Wall Street's upper-end forecasts.
Analysis: Shopify's results d
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NVIDIA NVDA rallied strongly alongside technology stocks overall, with full-day trading volume expanding significantly and lifting the entire semiconductor and computing-power industry chain.
Market sentiment: Strongly bullish
Key signal: Production ramp-up and shipment-order visibility for the next-generation Blackwell architecture chips have improved, while demand from supercomputing data centers remains well above supply.
Analysis: Expectations of a potential easing in the macro geopolitical situation have reduced global supply-chain uncertainty, while strong earnings statements from cloud
NVDA-0.67%
Caterpillar CAT continues its strong momentum following favorable earnings results, leading the cyclical sector as a bellwether for traditional industry and energy and power infrastructure.
Market sentiment: Steadily bullish
Key signal: Orders in the energy and power segment are being strongly driven by data center power supply and global energy transition demand, with the backlog remaining high.
Analysis: The explosion in AI computing power is driving not only chip demand, but also tangible boosts to on-the-ground power, cooling facilities, and industrial construction. The company demonstrate
CAT-0.84%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw intense intraday trading amid high turnover after releasing its earnings report, with its share price showing significant volatility as its AI chip business guidance was updated.
Market sentiment: Fierce bull-bear battle / valuation digestion
Key signal: The data center segment’s revenue share continues to rise, becoming the absolute growth engine; however, gross margin guidance and the pace of capital expenditures prompted some short-term funds to take profits.
Analysis: Cloud service providers (CSPs) remain robust in their CapEx spending on AI infrastructure,
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Palantir PLTR was one of the leaders in the rebound among technology stocks, maintaining high-level, high-volume volatility throughout the day while continuing to rise, extending the primary uptrend that began after its earnings release.
Market sentiment: Extremely bullish
Key signal: Second-quarter commercial revenue and net dollar retention rate both hit record highs, while the large-scale enterprise deployment of AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform) validated its high earnings leverage.
Analysis: The market’s willingness to pay for sovereign AI and enterprise-grade data operating systems
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