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A brief analysis of BTC's short-term trend through Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, volume-price relationships, order flow, and price action
Historic upside breakout! On October 28, the 81,400 midpoint of the range was officially broken, with a high of 81,708 and a close of 81,094. +$1.556 billion Delta on $15.2 billion in trading volume that day—the second-highest single-day positive Delta in history (only behind the +$5.9 billion on 10-7). In the early hours of October 29, price made a normal pullback to 80,828. The six-week meat grinder is officially over, and a new impulsive w
BTC-0.67%
Samsung earnings shock! Major players are fleeing—it's plunged hard. Is it time to buy the dip?
News drives sentiment, capital determines survival, and technicals pinpoint entries and exits!
RSI has now fallen to 15, deep in oversold territory, while capital flows are at -89—everyone is fleeing! But don't stubbornly chase shorts. Long-term storage demand remains a positive catalyst. This is short-term bearish but long-term bullish; an extreme oversold reading is bound to trigger a rebound!
Trading idea: Short if the rebound meets resistance near 176–178. $SAMSUNG $BTC $ZEC #美联储继续按兵不动 #Gate lau
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#美联储继续按兵不动 Inflation Is the “Master Switch”: The Fed Holds Steady, So Why Is BTC More Worried About Inflation Data?
Looking at the current macro environment and market pricing structure, BTC is more sensitive in the short term to inflation data than to the Fed’s policy signals themselves. In practice, however, the two are linked through a “source-transmission” relationship, which can be understood as follows:
I. Current Market Conditions
• The Fed’s “hawkish pause”: At its October 27-28 FOMC meeting, the Fed held the federal funds rate steady at 3.75%-4%, but there was clear internal disagreem
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If it doesn’t pump by 9, I’m out, then I’ll buy back on the way down—plenty of free stop-losses
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🚨 BTCSOS just captured a new signal
📌 KOL channel: Sanma Ge futures direction: $BTC Long entry: 80458 Stop loss: 79000 Target: 81788 / 83500
Speaking of, earlier today (10-28) I just reposted a $BTC futures trade from Sanma Ge, and here we go again. 😅
Sis only relays the information; whether to follow and how large a position to take are up to you. The market can go wild, but risk management must not.
For personal records and sharing only; not investment advice. #闪迪存储业务高增长能否延续? SNDK +1.50% xSNDK +1.50%
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$XRP The current price of 1.3181 is caught at the divergence point between the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes: the 1-hour trend is weak (EMA20 resistance at 1.3239), while the 4-hour trend remains relatively strong (EMA20 support at 1.3160). More unusually, the price is just 2% below the 1-hour resistance at 1.3444, while volume has plunged to 13.6% of its usual daily level.
The current outlook is directionless, with bullish and bearish signals canceling each other out amid low volume. A high-volume break above 1.3444 would strengthen both timeframes in tandem, while a break below the 1.3078 sup
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Waller warns that AI stocks aren’t immune to rate hikes! High-rate pressures are becoming apparent—
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🦅 FED HOLDS RATES STEADY, INTERNAL DISAGREEMENTS EMERGE
The Fed decided to hold interest rates steady at its October 29 meeting, following a 0.25% hike in September.
• 10-2 vote: Cook and Hammack dissented. Unlike last time, when all 12 members were in agreement, clearer divisions have emerged this time.
• Strong U.S. economic growth: The Fed upgraded its assessment of economic activity, indicating the economy remains resilient.
• Inflation remains high: The Fed needs more data before deciding on its next move. Its commitment to bringing inflation back to the 2% target remains unchanged.
• Ca
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Amateras,
$BTC How many times have I seen this price?
Glassnode data shows that around 4 million $BTC held by long-term holders have a cost basis between $85,000 and $118,000. Most bought in at the 2025 highs, and more than half of long-term holders’ coins are still underwater.
Short-term holders’ cost basis is lower, at $77,000 and $64,000.
Historically, a breakout would require holding above $85K for several consecutive days. Otherwise, it’s probably best to keep your head down and stay humble~
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#CryptoTreasuryDivergence #ShareWeekly
Bitcoin vs. Ethereum Treasury Strategies: The Numbers Behind Corporate Crypto Decisions
Corporate crypto treasury activity is becoming an important signal for market participants, but the real story goes beyond how many coins a company buys in a single week. Cash reserves, share repurchases, financing costs, and long-term capital allocation can reveal much more about management's strategy.
The latest reported activity from Strategy and Bitmine highlights two different approaches. Strategy paused its Bitcoin transactions, while Bitmine continued adding E
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What Is Fixed-Percentage Risk Management? Why Should Every Trade Have a Clear Loss Budget?
In crypto trading, some people keep increasing their position size after a winning streak, then rush to double down after a losing streak in hopes of making their losses back quickly. This can easily cause account risk to spiral out of control. The core of fixed-percentage risk management is to set a clear risk budget before each trade, rather than deciding how much to put in based on emotion.
First, what is fixed-percentage risk management?
It usually means that the planned risk on each trade does not e
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I’m going to try a new long position here at 40; the risk/reward ratio doesn’t seem very high.
But based on the 4-hour closing price, it can serve as the basis for our entry.
Are you willing to take this risk, guys
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#资产分析 https://www.gate.com/wallet/assetsAnalysis continues to grow steadily, not letting down the first few friends who copied my trades. Half the position has already doubled 😊
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Google plunged more than 8% overnight, with its stock falling from 325 to 298.
A couple of days ago, I said: if Search growth falls below 15%, 315 won't hold.
As it turned out, Search grew just 12%. 315 broke overnight.
Cloud is actually doing extremely well, bringing in $30.7 billion in a quarter—more than doubling and beating expectations. In the past, that would have sent the stock soaring.
But this time, the market wasn't buying it.
The problem is spending. It poured more than $50 billion into AI in one quarter, while free cash flow came in negative by $9 billion. It's been negative for tw
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$ENA : From One Key Concept to Two Conditional Opportunities
When I looked at $ENA ’s chart again, I first hid the 24-hour -1.15%. It’s too easy to draw attention away. What really needs explaining right now is that $ENA’s price has already moved, but trading activity and volume haven’t followed. We can tentatively trust the direction, but shouldn’t assume it will continue; a move without anyone following through could be reversed at any moment.
My view: the direction is there for now, but low participation has reduced the credibility of this move.
Today, let’s explain a concept that can be use
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Halloween 🎃 Candy challenge carnival week
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Adding to a position to average down: why do you lose more the more you average down?
I. How averaging down works
You buy at 100, then buy another batch when it drops to 80, bringing your average cost down to 90.
As long as it rebounds to 90, you break even, so it looks like you can recover faster.
II. What's the problem?
You put in more money while increasing the overall risk of the position.
Your cost dropped by 10%, but the principal invested increased by 100%.
III. Let's run the numbers
You buy 1000 U the first time. It drops 20%, leaving you with an unrealized loss of 200 U.
You add anoth
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Recruiting makes more money than trading crypto!
Scumbag Watch: GOOGLE
A few days ago, while browsing X, I saw a chance to follow Buffett’s lead, so I took a look at Google’s candlestick chart. My impression at the time was that it looked like it hadn’t finished falling yet, so I placed a long order near the annual moving average.
When I got up this morning, I saw that the order had filled, and it’s currently showing a small profit.
Let’s take a look at Google’s Q3 earnings. In theory, its phenomenal Q2 results were unsustainable (spcx’s IPO brought in nearly 100 billion in investment gains). In Q3, its overall investment in spcx was actuall
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