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PERFECT STORM INDEX™ 13 SEPTEMBER 2026
84 / 100
🔴 EXTREME RISK | +1 TODAY
The PSI rises modestly from 83 to 84 as geopolitical and energy-market risks intensify.
Key drivers:
Saudi markets have weakened following the drone attacks and shutdown of the critical East–West oil pipeline.
Fighting around Yemen and the Bab el-Mandeb threatens another strategically important shipping route.
Oil above $100 continues to reinforce global inflation risk.
Markets now assign more than an 85% probability to a US interest-rate increase this week.
The US 10-year Treasury yield remains restrictive near 5%.
However, the VIX closed lower at 15.84, indicating that broader financial-market stress has not yet escalated decisively.
The one-point increase recognises the worsening geopolitical backdrop while avoiding an exaggerated weekend adjustment before global markets reopen.
Risk remains extreme. Capital preservation and disciplined risk management remain the priority.