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#Has the Market Bottomed Out?
Bitcoin (BTC) is becoming increasingly difficult to mine after the increased competition in the last ten days. The next difficulty adjustment may make the network more competitive.
Bitcoin's difficulty index (BTC) is approaching an all-time high, following a small adjustment at the end of January. The next difficulty adjustment shows an increase of 4.71%, putting more pressure on miners to allocate more resources or halt their operations to wait for more favorable difficulty conditions. The behavior of miners and their readiness to produce coins in all conditions may indicate whether the BTC price will continue to rise or face more selling pressure.
In the past few days, the sustainability metric of mining profits/losses has switched to 'underpaid', based on Cryptoquant data. Since 2022, miners have experienced a period of being underpaid, which has not stopped them from building more data centers. However, this also means that miners are strategic in their sales, trying to make the most of the local market peaks.
The theory of Bitcoin mining capitulation has been tested through four previous reductions. Throughout Bitcoin's history, miners have not left the network or caused block production to stop. However, beyond a certain point, miners can accelerate their sales and put more pressure on the BTC price.
The impact of mining capitulation may eliminate inefficient miners, leading to the replacement of equipment and a new balance between block expenses and rewards. The price per difficulty is currently in a transition zone, where miners may continue to extend their efforts for a while, but may soon switch to selling.
Bitcoin mining remains competitive for larger-scale operations
Just before the difficulty adjustment, the mining rate surged again to over 992 EH/s. Large pools and mining operations show no signs of reducing their efforts to solve blocks. However, some miners continue to compete despite potentially small profit margins.
The upcoming difficulty adjustment may result in a slower mining period, in an effort to create more favorable conditions. However, some mining operations may also attempt to inflate the hashrate and make less competitive mining facilities surrender.
The average Bitcoin mining cost is at $86,000, while BTC is trading above $97,000. The impact of mining difficulty will vary for different pools and solo mining data centers. Even now, whale miners can hold onto more of their coins, while small-scale operations sell off faster.