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#BTC #打榜优质内容 21-year-old FRENs know that 2021 was a "year of embellishment", especially the biggest financial easing since 2008. However, this year's economic backdrop is quite different from 2021, with the Intrerest Rate still high and asset sizes still shrinking. We expect asset sizes to increase, not just embellishments. Embellishment is usually done when the Intrerest Rate drops to zero and unconventional measures are taken, yet the Intrerest Rate remains at 4.5%. Some celebrities expect the asset size reduction to end in the first or second quarter of this year without further increases. Despite the fact that there is no large-scale financial easing at the moment, there are traded investment funds and some friendly policies in the market, which allowed BTC to successfully break through the $100,000 mark. However, Liquidity for alternative currencies did not follow suit. Many frens may have fallen into the illusion of a "mad revolution". In fact, even in 2021, not all projects can be easily doubled. Financial markets are always accompanied by the foolish exploitation of risk. Even BTC can't avoid it. Projects that usually attract money and over-trade often perform well and can even achieve returns hundreds of times over. Therefore, choosing a project is an art and a technique. From the Cosmic Matrix to Decentralization Finance, to Public Chains and Artificial Intelligence and a handful of leaders, the market is constantly evolving.
In the next few days, BTC may rebound strongly within the range of 96000-98000. However, the market sentiment may turn bearish again afterwards and touch or directly drop to the downtrend line within the range of 86000-88000. In extreme cases, it may even fill the gap in CME, which is around 78000, and this will happen around January 16th to 18th. The market always seems to experience violent fluctuations before and after Trump's inauguration, and then quickly rebound to form a golden gap.
2. After Trump took office, a series of policies that were beneficial to BTC were introduced, such as promoting BTC reserves, gradually improving the market situation. It is expected that the market will break through the downtrend line at the end of February and return to the level of $100,000.
3. During the period from February 4th to 8th, the market will begin to enter the first quarter, possibly exceeding $114,000. However, at the end of February and the beginning of March, there may be another adjustment, and a sharp rise may be seen at the beginning of March, attempting to challenge $140,000.
4. However, in mid-May, negative sentiment returned to the market, increasing concerns about the bear market. With the Fed's interest rate cut in early June, the market rose again, breaking through $150,000 and forming the peak of the bull market, which began to distribute dividends and gradually cast a shadow of the bear market.
Finally, it's not just others who are afraid, but I'm even more afraid. When others are greedy, I at least make one dollar and then leave.