Friday, let’s talk about the outlook backdrop for the next stage, and views on a few picks!

Friday, let’s talk about the outlook backdrop for the next stage, and views on a few picks!

The background sector hasn’t changed!
1. After the US stock “World Cup” ends, it collapses immediately!
2. This month’s discount interest rate good news data does not support the Fed’s rate cuts going forward
3. Hawkish remarks still persist!
4. The Middle East front line is lengthening, impacting the whole world!
5. Japanese and Korean stock markets are facing a major short-selling crisis!
6. The institutional, Wall Street, and on-chain inflow sentiment hasn’t reached the level of a turnaround
7. The technical structure’s 675 top-bottom conversion—if it can’t be broken, it won’t be made possible
8. On the weekly chart, the key moving averages’ pressure test remains!

In summary, everything is a bearish sector, but the main rhythm of the market doesn’t go well—geopolitical front crisis + US stocks + Japan/Korea circuit breakers couldn’t trigger a big plunge waterfall; all the market leaves us with is just “position control”!

And now, this week’s short chips have basically been pulled up around 669, scattered everywhere—almost enough! The rest is a mess; only by holding your ground can you fly up to the sky!

Big pie (BTC) sector: the outlook is still a short situation. Our short position (空箪) is still being held; we’ll consider trimming in the 643 area to take a swing. Keeping the 56666 mindset!

Second pie: after the 1955 top peak radiates, all we have left is following; the rebound is basically done too. Follow along and short together—look at 1566-1388!

Gold: the highs have been gradually applying pressure; the turning point is at 4180. The “if it doesn’t break, it won’t be established” principle still holds. Look for a pullback to confirm support at 3680 unchanged; any rebound is also just gasps!

Crude oil: short-term upward momentum is intensifying; the geopolitical front can’t be resolved in the near term. We expect the high of this leg to be around 116. There is still room for a push higher in the short term; a pullback is still fine for adding a little long. Once it’s up to target, consider going big short!

Micron, SanDisk: after the big drop the day before, there was a rebound. Each time, there’s institutional money propping it up; this shows the likelihood of a deep sector selloff is not big. Most likely it will decline step by step with “turning back” along the way. Keep watching for a pullback—small short still acceptable!

Spcx: basically finished! As mentioned earlier, once it breaks 143, it’s a discard. There’s still downside room; consider bottom-picking around 88-95!

We won’t talk about other altcoin sectors. Just make sure you focus on the mainstream! Wishing everyone all the best!

$BTC $ETH #美国对60个经济体加征关税