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Cross-market integration is hard to do.
The two major prediction market leaders, Kalshi and Polymarket, didn’t do well with Perp DEX.
The Perp DEX leader Hyperliquid also didn’t do well with prediction/event contracts.
On Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 event contracts, daily trading volume recently at one point fell to less than $1 million.
Active markets for HIP-4 dropped from more than 120 to fewer than 20, falling more than 85% within just a month.
Data source: the @wublockchain12 data center. Recently, it launched a new Hyperliquid special: