2026.7.22

Market Analysis

This run has a chance to break above 500k. Ethereum can potentially touch 2,000.


Macro Environment

World Cup liquidity is draining. Over in Korea, they’re going to trade Korean stocks, pulling funds out of the crypto market.

Both of the two major forces aren’t in the market right now—how can it rise? This boost is mainly because the World Cup ends, the Korean market crashes, and capital flows back into the crypto space.

If we analyze from the Korean side, we can conclude that the market is already on the edge.

My former name was: Ark of Awei. Now my name is: Awei’s Voyage.

Always marching with BTC.

Why are Korean people so疯狂 about trading stocks? Think about how, back then, Luna—Luna, ftt—went bust. It’s the Korean “kimchi culture” of it.

Many people say they’re just too greedy, too fond of gambling.

But the real reason may be harsher.

Wage growth is slow, but rent and living costs keep rising.

After working hard for many years, they still can’t buy a home.

Once they learn a job, AI may replace it again.

And every day on their phones, there are people making money from stocks, chips, and Bitcoin—earning in a few months what ordinary people earn over years.

So many people start to be afraid:

If they don’t get on the train now, they might never catch up again in their lifetime.

So for them, stocks aren’t just an investment anymore.

It becomes the final card to change their fate.

But ordinary people’s principal is too small.

With $100k, even if they double it, that’s only $200k.

If they try to get richer slowly through wages, it may take ten years.


So they start using leverage.

With $100k as principal, they control $200k, $500k, or even more.

When prices go up, wealth is accelerated.

But when prices fall, life is accelerated too.

If stocks drop 10%, ordinary people might just lose 10%.

But with 5x leverage, they could already be close to liquidation.

Once the platform forces a closeout,

even if the stock rises again later,

you’ll have no principal left.

The market can fall back, but your position might not be able to come back.

That’s the cruelest part of leverage.

They probably haven’t misread AI.

Hynix may indeed be a good company.

But they bet on a long-term trend that could have been patiently waited for,

using leverage they can’t afford.

They aren’t unwilling to get rich slowly.

They just feel they don’t have time anymore.

So they want to earn ten years’ worth of money in one year.

But the market might take, in 20 days,

the principal they can’t earn back even in ten years.

That’s the real tragedy for Korean stock traders—

not that they got AI wrong.

It’s that they want to change their fate too badly. When someone feels they don’t have time to get rich slowly,

the market sells them something:

Speed.

2x ETFs, 5x leverage, 50x contracts.

They can help you make money faster.

But they can also help you leave the card table faster.

The real danger isn’t getting one stock wrong.

It’s betting your entire life on a stock that can’t be allowed to go down.


Go with the market, swim against the crowd.

Validate with a small position, then magnify profits.

The former determines what you research,

the latter determines whether you can survive until opportunities are realized.

The real gap in the market isn’t whether someone knows more candlestick charts and indicators.

It’s this:

If you get it wrong, can you cut losses;

If you profit, can you avoid blindly adding leverage;

When there’s a crash, can you avoid panic, and when there’s a surge, can you avoid going crazy.

The market will always sell “speed” to ordinary people.

2x ETFs, 50x contracts, the next ten-bagger coin.

They can help you make money faster,

and help you leave the card table faster.

True financial freedom isn’t you finally winning a bet once.

It’s that once you have choices, you never again need to trade your life for speed.