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This week is crowded with unlocks, votes, and earnings that can shake low liquidity.
Unlock calendar first. $ZRO will unlock 4.6% of supply worth $20.5M on July 20, $STRK 2.6% worth $5M same day. $AVAX 0.7% $23.3M and $MORPHO 1.2% $24M on July 21. $ARB 1.4% $12.3M July 23, $WLD 1.5% $57.7M July 24, $H 2.7% $15.6M July 25, $TON 0.9% $69.9M July 26. Most are small, but $WLD and $TON could see sell pressure if pre-unlock run fails.
DAO votes second. $ENS DAO votes on new security council for two-year term with kill power on bad proposals, ends July 20. $LDO votes on free community staking module and new penalty rules for node ops, ends July 20. $ARB votes to extend council terms to two years, ends July 23. $ZKSync votes on ZIP-16 v31 to add Priority Mode and merge Era and OS code, ends July 23. These are not hype, they set risk rules for billions in TVL.
Earnings and AI are third leg. $IBKR reports July 21, $CME and $TSLA July 22, $NDAQ July 23. Last week Moonshot AI Kimi K3 beat Claude and GPT on code test and hit chip stocks. That shock dragged $BTC below $63k on July 17, then chip rebound lifted $BTC to $66.1k on July 21. Oil also eased from $91 to $88.5 as Iran halt talk spread. So $BTC is now trading as chip beta, not solo.
Deep trade plan: low volume means easy shake. CME open interest low since 2023, spot volume 62% of year mean. So do not chase green candles with big size. For $BTC, $64k base holds, $68k roof, $72k call spread into Fed. For $ETH, $1,860 held low, now $1,922, push to $2,050 if $BTC holds. For unlocks, fade $WLD and $TON rally into unlock day, look for short with tight stop above recent high. For DAO plays, $ENS and $LDO could see buy if votes pass, since better safety lifts TVL. For earnings, long $TSLA and $NVDA proxy via $BTC longs if chip bid stays, short if chip fades.
#UnlockWeek
Unlock calendar first. $ZRO will unlock 4.6% of supply worth $20.5M on July 20, $STRK 2.6% worth $5M same day. $AVAX 0.7% $23.3M and $MORPHO 1.2% $24M on July 21. $ARB 1.4% $12.3M July 23, $WLD 1.5% $57.7M July 24, $H 2.7% $15.6M July 25, $TON 0.9% $69.9M July 26. Most are small, but $WLD and $TON could see sell pressure if pre-unlock run fails.
DAO votes second. $ENS DAO votes on new security council for two-year term with kill power on bad proposals, ends July 20. $LDO votes on free community staking module and new penalty rules for node ops, ends July 20. $ARB votes to extend council terms to two years, ends July 23. $ZKSync votes on ZIP-16 v31 to add Priority Mode and merge Era and OS code, ends July 23. These are not hype, they set risk rules for billions in TVL.
Earnings and AI are third leg. $IBKR reports July 21, $CME and $TSLA July 22, $NDAQ July 23. Last week Moonshot AI Kimi K3 beat Claude and GPT on code test and hit chip stocks. That shock dragged $BTC below $63k on July 17, then chip rebound lifted $BTC to $66.1k on July 21. Oil also eased from $91 to $88.5 as Iran halt talk spread. So $BTC is now trading as chip beta, not solo.
Deep trade plan: low volume means easy shake. CME open interest low since 2023, spot volume 62% of year mean. So do not chase green candles with big size. For $BTC, $64k base holds, $68k roof, $72k call spread into Fed. For $ETH, $1,860 held low, now $1,922, push to $2,050 if $BTC holds. For unlocks, fade $WLD and $TON rally into unlock day, look for short with tight stop above recent high. For DAO plays, $ENS and $LDO could see buy if votes pass, since better safety lifts TVL. For earnings, long $TSLA and $NVDA proxy via $BTC longs if chip bid stays, short if chip fades.
#UnlockWeek