Everyone's waiting for the Fed to cut rates and save $BTC , but the market is actually betting against that.


The Fed meets July 28-29, genuinely the biggest date left on Bitcoin's calendar this year. Current odds put roughly a 70% chance on the Fed simply holding rates steady, and if it does move at all, a hike is seen as more likely than a cut.
That's a real gap between the story a lot of people are telling themselves- rate cuts are coming, Bitcoin gets a tailwind- and what the market is actually pricing.
It doesn't mean the Fed can't surprise everyone. It does mean the "cuts are basically guaranteed" framing floating around isn't backed by the actual odds right now.
Are you positioned for a hold, or still betting on a cut?
BTC1.59%
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GateUser-378c4af2
· 7h ago
thanks for the useful information
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