Market predictions indicate a sharp decline in the likelihood of US-Iran diplomatic talks.

ME News reported on April 27 (UTC+8) that, according to prediction market data, in the event “The U.S. and Iran diplomatic meeting will be held…?”, the “Yes” option for “U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks will be held before April 29, 2026” saw its trading probability drop from 72.5% to 12.5%, a single-day decrease of 60.0 percentage points.
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