After the market’s concentrated sell-off last week, the U.S. stock market is now in a tug-of-war period where high valuations in AI concept stocks are being digested and geopolitical disturbances in the Middle East are adding uncertainty.



Last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 2.9% week-over-week, the S&P 500 Index dropped 1.6%, and the semiconductor and AI hardware supply chain became the main concentrated target of selling pressure.

As the second-quarter earnings season fully enters a dense reporting period this week, market funds are closely watching whether tech giants’ capital expenditures are being realized, as well as shifts in capital flows toward defensive sectors for risk-avoidance.

With the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield staying in high-range consolidation around 4.53% ~ 4.55%, high P/E growth stocks remain vulnerable under pressure from discount rates.

U.S. retail sales and core inflation show signs of easing, but rising oil prices driven by geopolitical risk have intensified concerns about supply-chain costs. Safe-haven funds are continuing to flow into traditional defensive sectors such as healthcare (XLV) and consumer staples (XLP).

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#美军结束对伊朗新一轮打击
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NakedK
· 07-20 15:55
Geopolitical conflicts are driving oil prices higher, and supply-chain costs are likely to rise again. If tech giants’ capital expenditures do not exceed expectations, this round of adjustment is set to continue.
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AirdropOnly
· 07-20 15:21
Last week’s sell pressure was concentrated in semiconductors and AI hardware, indicating that the market lacks confidence in high-priced stocks; with a dense period of quarterly earnings, volatility will be even greater.
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DoubleEdgeContract
· 07-20 14:32
AI valuation digestion period—don’t rush to buy the dip; wait until the earnings report is out.
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BlendUser
· 07-20 14:15
It makes sense that the defensive sector is strengthening; although inflation is easing, geopolitical risk hasn’t been resolved, and US Treasuries are yielding over 4.5%, putting immense pressure on growth stock valuations.
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AirdropLine
· 07-20 14:00
The Nasdaq fell 2.9%, U.S. Treasury yields are fluctuating at high levels, and high P/E stocks are indeed hard to hold up. Money has all run to healthcare and consumer staples for safe-haven protection.
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