MONDAY MORNING MARKET NOTES:

📈 STOCK MARKET
U.S. futures are attempting to rebound after last week’s technology-led selloff:
• Dow futures: +0.4% • S&P 500 futures: +0.5% • Nasdaq futures: +1.1%
The Nasdaq and semiconductor sector remain the primary areas to watch after heavy selling in AI and chip stocks last week.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has now fallen more than 20% from its June high—officially entering bear-market territory.
⚠️ MAJOR MARKET CATALYSTS THIS WEEK
Tech earnings:
This is one of the biggest earnings weeks of the quarter:
Monday: Domino’s Pizza - Steel Dynamics
Tuesday: General Motors - 3M - Halliburton
Wednesday: Alphabet - Tesla - IBM - AT&T
Thursday: - Intel - Comcast - Honeywell
Friday: American Express - Verizon
Alphabet, Tesla, IBM and Intel will likely determine whether technology stocks can stabilize or if last week’s weakness continues.
Oil and geopolitical tensions
Brent crude briefly climbed above $90 per barrel as tensions between the United States and Iran continued.
Higher oil prices create another potential inflation problem and could place pressure on transportation, consumer and growth stocks.
Energy stocks remain an important relative-strength area.
Federal Reserve expectations
The Federal Reserve is now in its blackout period ahead of next week’s interest-rate decision.
That means earnings, economic data, bond yields and oil prices will drive the market narrative this week
📈 CRYPTO MARKET:
Bitcoin: approximately $64,900
Ethereum: approximately $1,900
Bitcoin continues to hold the $63,000–$65,000 region despite pressure across broader risk assets.
The immediate question:
Can BTC reclaim and hold above $65,000, or does this become another lower high before a retest of support?
Most altcoins continue to show weaker relative strength than Bitcoin.
Until that changes, BTC dominance and Bitcoin’s reaction around resistance remain more important than chasing individual altcoin moves.
🔍 WHAT I’M WATCHING
Can the Nasdaq sustain its early rebound? Do semiconductor stocks find support?
Bitcoin’s reaction around $65,000
Oil holding above or rejecting $90
Earnings guidance from major technology companies
Whether market breadth improves beyond energy and defensive sectors
MY VIEW:
This is not a week to blindly chase Monday morning strength.
The market is attempting to rebound, but we still need confirmation from technology stocks, market breadth and Bitcoin.
Let the market prove the bounce is real.
React to confirmation; not emotion.