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Market forecasts indicate that the likelihood of US-Iran diplomatic talks has fallen significantly.

2026-07-20 11:01:48

ME News reported on April 27 (UTC+8) that market prediction data shows that, in the event “Will there be a U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting …?”, the “Yes” option for “U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks to be held before April 29, 2026” saw its match probability fall from 72.5% to 12.5%, a decrease of 60.0 percentage points in a single day.

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