Market Recap for the Weekend | BTC Breaks Through Resistance, AAVE Shows Abnormal Weakness

Today’s market saw an interesting divergence—

Four major assets all rebounded, but AAVE fell through support in the opposite direction.

【Latest Prices】

BTC $64,800 +2.23% ✅

ETH $1,880 +1.95% ✅

XAU $4,022 +1.11% ✅

SOL $77.00 +2.82% ✅

AAVE $89.00 -2.37% ⚠️

【BTC · The Most Important Signal】

Last Friday (7/17), I mentioned: the BTC 4-hour pressure level was 63,930—breakout only matters if it holds above.

Today BTC is standing at 64,800—not only did it break through, but it also held.

This means 63,930, the previous resistance, may now turn into support.

The next most critical level: 65,000.

This is the prior high from the July 15 CPI move, and it’s the current most important line separating bulls from bears.

If it can hold 65,000 → look for 66,000–68,000

If it gets rejected again → then the CPI move still remains a high-range consolidation, so stay cautious

【ETH · 50% Retracement Holds】

1,844 is the 50% retracement level of the CPI涨幅.

Last week it held; today it rebounded to 1,880.

The bullish logic is intact: as long as the 50% retracement level doesn’t break, it means there’s still buying interest.

Resistance zones: 1,902–1,925—don’t chase if it breaks through.

【XAU · Reclaims 4,000】

Gold rebounded from the six-week low at 3,978 back to 4,022, reclaiming the 4,000 psychological level again.

This rebound shows that haven demand hasn’t disappeared, and the market’s risk sentiment hasn’t fully opened up yet.

【⚠ AAVE · Weak on its Own, Need to Be Careful】

This is the most worth noting signal today:

While the overall market is rising, AAVE fell from 91 to 89.

The 89 level is the key support / stop-loss reference level I gave in my analysis last week.

Now it’s exactly trading at this spot—support, or a breakdown?

Hold 89: you can continue holding and watch the rebound

Break below 89 and hold: bears accelerate, with 86–88 in view below

For those holding AAVE, your stop loss must be executed—you can’t rely on “holding through it.”

【Overall Assessment】

The market is recovering, but the direction hasn’t been fully established.

Whether BTC can break and hold 65,000 is the most important thing to watch this week.

Positioning advice: keep a core position and hold; for swing trades, wait to add after BTC breaks through 65,000 and confirmation comes.

(Personal opinion, not investment advice; DYOR)

‍#BTC #ETH #AAVE #行情分析 #Cryptocurrency