#夏日创作营 BTC daily close above $62,500, continuing to maintain a bullish outlook.

This week’s market action has largely played out within expectations: from a continuous bullish run to $65,500, then after the first pressure test it turned bearish, suggesting filling the $62,800 gap. Once the gap is filled, it’s again recommended to flip and go long. The market rhythm is clear right now—rally, pullback, then another rebound. This kind of ranging structure is actually the easiest to trade.
As for whether the top is in, I still lean toward there being one final upswing. The true liquidity-dense zone is above 67,000–68,000. Only by breaking through that area can we effectively trigger stop-losses on bottom short positions, attract breakout-chasing capital, and make the subsequent dip exploration smoother. Therefore, as long as 62,500 is not effectively broken down, I expect another push higher next week.
From the daily chart structure, the midline has been tested 6 times repeatedly. The more times support is tested, the higher the probability of a breakdown. So the best course of action now is not another pullback, but a direct breakout after high-range consolidation. If it again revisits the lows, then the entire trading rhythm needs to be reassessed.
On the macro front, I maintain the original view: this year’s rate-hike expectations remain higher than the rate-cut expectations. Inflation and geopolitical risks have not yet faded, and the conditions to directly start a full-blown bull market are not sufficient. Therefore, this move is more likely to be seen as a big rebound within a bear market, with the real big opportunity still coming after the rebound ends and that next dip.
In terms of trading, I continue with the old playbook: stay bullish above 62,500, and if there’s a pullback around 64,000, consider entries. Focus on two key levels: 65,500 and 68,000. If a false breakout appears near 68,000 afterward, it’s likely to be the bear market’s last mid-line short opportunity. If it holds above 68,000 directly, then stay on the sidelines first and wait for the market to show a new direction.