$CL /USDT On the 4-hour timeframe, a bearish signal has been triggered—77% win rate, do you believe it?

$CL /USDT - Short SHORT

Trading plan:
Entry: 83.47 – 83.69
SL: 85.01
TP1: 82.51
TP2: 81.79
TP3: 80.72

Why focus on this structure?
- The current price is 83.58; the 1-hour RSI is as high as 83.58, and the overbought zone is clear.
- The daily is in a ranging zone, but the 4-hour direction has flipped bearish—are short-term rebounds a trap to lure longs?
- TP1 at 82.51, TP2 at 81.79, stop loss at 85.01—the risk-reward ratio is over 2x.
- Why now? RSI falling from the highs + trend turning bearish—this is the entry window.

Discussion:
Will this bearish move hit TP2 first and then rebound, or will it directly blast through the stop loss? Which side do you choose?