The group chat has exploded again—everyone is shouting “Let’s go” and “We’re getting rich,” and when you look back, you see that a KOL has just posted a screenshot saying “I told you so.” Honestly, every time I see this kind of information bombardment, my first reaction is to lock my screen, sleep on it, and decide afterward. As for chasing pumps and selling at dips: out of ten people, nine are just helping someone else lift the price, and the remaining one gets lucky enough to jump on the train—but most of the time, it’s still a gamble.

Social mining and fan tokens have been pretty hot lately, but to put it simply, attention is your time. You dig and dig, and in the end it may only end up contributing traffic to the project team. I understand this kind of play, but I can’t shake the feeling that “attention is mining” is more like a false premise—you put in emotion and effort, and what you get back is only a handful of data. Once the hype fades, going to zero is also largely a matter of probability.

I’ve never believed in “fate”; I only believe in probability. If you rush in, it could mean gains, or it could mean losses—there’s nothing mystical about it. These days, I’m more inclined to wait until on-chain activity and the moves of major holders are clear, then weigh it up. Impulsiveness is the biggest enemy—don’t let group chat messages and KOLs make the bill for you.