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I treat complexity as an enemy. I just tried it myself—getting stuck in the mempool really can throw you off.
Sometimes you see gas spike, and the transaction is still queued there, and it feels like you’re clearly in front, but the line suddenly gets messed up, and then you’re overtaken by a bunch of jumpers. Honestly, this time when gas suddenly surged, I didn’t pay much attention at first—I was thinking to wait a bit for it to come down before sending. But after waiting more than an hour, it didn’t drop; instead, it went up by a few more points. Later, I had to harden myself and add a bit of gas to get it through.
Recently, some friends have been talking about withdrawals from a certain region. They say mentally, withdrawals and deposits feel a bit tight right now, and they don’t dare to move around. I feel the same way too, especially when there’s congestion—it makes my nerves even more on edge. In any case, I’ll just observe for now. My personal approach is: either wait patiently for gas to fall, or prepare more contingency plans for extreme cases. Bottom line: patience is worth more than adding gas.