July 18 evening Linmu big cake and second cake strategy analysis


From observing short-term trends, during the afternoon to evening session the market fell into extreme sluggishness; prices stayed around the 64,000 integer level and the hourly-level mid-band, performing narrow-range, “weaving” style oscillations. Although the K-line bodies are extremely small, seemingly calm and steady, the 5-minute MACD fast and slow lines have remained stuck together below the zero axis, and trading volume has noticeably shrunk, indicating very weak buy-side follow-through. The main force is grinding down retail traders’ patience through this kind of “sticking to the line” movement while accumulating bearish momentum. It’s worth noting that the 64,200 area is clearly acting as resistance. After a brief reduced-volume consolidation, the market is expected to be unable to break through this resistance level; it will then choose to break down, bringing a pullback with strength and repair. For the evening session, it’s recommended to focus on high shorts; do not frequently trade within this narrow range.
Trading ideas:
Big cake: After a rebound to the 64,500-65,000 area is rejected, go short, targeting around 63,000-62,500
Second cake: After a rebound to the 1,860-1,890 area is rejected, go short, targeting around 1,800-1,760 #PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购 $BTC $ETH
BTC1.26%
ETH0.58%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
GateUser-470bc925
· 07-18 15:52
I followed Linmu Ge’s short position yesterday, and it’s currently showing a small profit. But honestly, this kind of narrow-range chop is most afraid of a sudden fake breakout. I suggest trimming part of the position near 64,000 first, then adding back after a breakdown. Also, Ethereum’s support below 1,800 is fairly strong, so the short target shouldn’t be looked at too low—1760 may already be reached. Overall I’m still bearish, but trade flexibly.
View OriginalReply0
EmotionIsolator
· 07-18 14:30
This contraction and consolidation really feels a bit ominous. If 64,000 can’t hold, the downside space will open up, but I think it’s better to wait for confirmation of a breakdown before chasing.
View OriginalReply0
PerpMoodSwing
· 07-18 13:41
Weaving market conditions are choppy; the main forces are wearing people down, and the high-altitude approach is fine.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityIce
· 07-18 13:38
The analysis is very thorough. The MACD sticking together and shrinking volume does indicate an inflection point is likely, but you should also be aware that if there’s a sudden surge in volume that pushes price up and squeezes the shorts, given that market sentiment is currently unstable. Set a stop-loss in advance and try a short position with a small position size.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned