Hey, recently the staking unlocks and the token unlock calendar got dug up again, which made a bunch of people in the community anxious about sell pressure. Honestly, chasing these time points as a retail trader doesn’t really matter much.

What you truly need to understand is just one signal—**the frequency and pattern of traders’ behavior**. For example, if a certain pool suddenly starts showing a series of consecutive small-sized arbitrage bundles, or if block builders begin packing specific transactions more frequently, that’s when on-chain players are actually moving. Retail traders don’t need to dig into how block builders assemble bundles or how they抢 MEV (抢MEV). In any case, even if you know, you won’t be able to compete with professional nodes.

My approach: watch for abnormal spikes on the AMM curve, or the “heartbeat” rhythm of some fee distribution cycle. Those are way better than worrying over the calendar.

Anyway, don’t make simple things complicated. For now, that’s it.