Do you really think all those “coincidental” on-chain transfers are just luck handed down by the heavens?

Recently, the competition among Layer2s over TPS has been lively—one subsidy after another has been even more aggressive—but I can’t change my habits on-chain. When I see several “coincidental transfers,” they run from the mainnet to a certain Layer2, and then to a new address, with timestamps so tight they feel like a stopwatch. In plain terms, the path can be broken down: first, look at the time intervals between transfers; second, check whether the receiving party is a contract that was just recently deployed or is simply idling; and finally, review the authorization records.
Don’t trust “good luck.” Most of it is calculated route arbitrage or fee shuffling. In any case, after I check, I decisively avoid it. That little shortcut isn’t as good as clearing your permissions first.