$MU /USDT 4-hour timeframe short signal has been activated, but why is the win rate only 55%?



$MU /USDT - Going SHORT

Trading plan:
Entry: 843.10 – 848.04
SL: 869.32
TP1: 827.76
TP2: 815.89
TP3: 798.08

Why focus on this setup?
- Current price 845.57, EMA trend is bearish, but the 1D is in a ranging area—not a trending market.
- RSI 15m = 46.89, not oversold; downside momentum is moderate, suitable for short-term trading.
- ATR 1h = 9.89, volatility is moderate; entry zone 843–848 is closely positioned near resistance.
- Why now? The 4-hour structure has just broken out to the downside; for this short-term position, TP1 = 827.76, with a risk/reward ratio of 2:1.

Discussion:
Will this SHORT reach TP2 = 815.89 first, or will it get stopped out by an EMA rebound? What do you think?
MU0.90%
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