$RAVE This 15-minute RSI spike is worth watching closely. It’s not that it can’t go up—it's that within a downtrend, these kinds of pulses look more like traps.



Enter around 0.311, stop-loss at 0.3395, TP1 at 0.2896, TP2 at 0.2753, TP3 at 0.2539. The 4-hour timeframe is still a bearish structure, and the 15-minute RSI has run up to 69—clearly overheated. Shorting from this level gives a risk-reward ratio close to 3-to-1, and the stop-loss isn’t overly wide.

Insiders are adding shorts, while retail chases the 15-minute rebound and rushes in. Is it a fake breakout or a real reversal? As long as the bearish structure on the daily chart hasn’t broken, I lean toward waiting for this heat to cool off.
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CoffeeGas
· 12h ago
The stop-loss isn’t set too wide, but if you get swept by a needle wick, you’ll lose money—can you tighten the stop-loss a bit more?
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CycleWatcher
· 12h ago
This RSI surge to 69 means that unless it’s an extreme market move, the probability of a short-term pullback is very high.
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TableNextToJupiter
· 12h ago
The biggest fear when shorting is hitting a V-reversal, but from the daily chart structure, even if a V-reversal happens, it will be hard to sustain.
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MaCrossRecorder
· 12h ago
Insiders pile on shorts, while retail investors chase more gains—this plot is one I know all too well, and the result is often that the shorts win.
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QuantApprentice
· 12h ago
The “green onion” crowd sees a 15-minute golden cross and charges in—little do they know the main players are waiting to hand out the payout.
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SnowballSave
· 12h ago
The OP’s analysis is spot-on. I’ve already shorted at 0.311—I hope the whales don’t notice me.
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PaperSculptureOctopusPosition
· 12h ago
The likelihood of a fake breakout is higher, because the 4-hour MACD is still below the zero line and is still in a dead cross.
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L2Snail
· 12h ago
If this round drops below 0.2896, then the bears will be completely in control—I’m planning to add to my position.
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FloorSeeker
· 12h ago
In fact, entering around 0.311 is quite reasonable—support at the previous low hasn’t been broken, but the RSI being overheated definitely needs caution.
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