Short-term trades rely on logic; long-term trades rely on faith—this line gets to the essence of the two playbooks.

If you’re doing ultra-short-term trading, don’t try to guess tomorrow’s ups or downs. The only thing you can rely on is the strength or weakness in the order book and the changes in volume. If the logic is intact, hold on; if the logic breaks, leave immediately. The worst thing is hesitation—turning a short-term position into a “passive long-term” one by forcing yourself to carry it.

And for long-term spot trading, what you’re betting on is your certainty in the trend and the underlying value. As long as the underlying logic hasn’t fundamentally reversed, a crash is nothing more than a monsoon sweeping past a valley—just a brief storm, nothing more. What you need to do is close your account, return to normal life, and let time make your judgment come true.

The biggest trap is mixing the two up: when you get stuck in a short-term trade, you comfort yourself with “value investing”; when you hold a long-term position, you get out too early because you keep watching the chart. Finding the rhythm that truly suits you is more useful than following any trend-chasing big name. The market isn’t short of opportunities—what it lacks is clarity.