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Tonight’s rebound, pumping from 3963 straight up to 4000, likely caught quite a few friends who were chasing shorts off guard. You went in following the short-side logic to bet on a breakdown, but in the end you got trapped at a low entry—if I said I’m not nervous inside, that would be a lie.
Right now, many people are probably still comforting themselves: the bigger trend is still bearish, so just hold on and it will come back. But the most dangerous thing in trading has never been the obvious, on-the-record big loss—it’s this kind of “it seems like I can hold it” small trap. It grinds down your principles bit by bit. By the time you realize it, you’ve long lost the confidence to exit on your own.
What’s more, today is Friday, and the market will be closed for the weekend right after. Over these next two days, any rumor-driven move in the news cycle can snowball. In past years, there have been plenty of situations where Monday’s open directly gaps by dozens of points. You may still feel the unrealized loss is controllable now, but two days off means you hand over all the initiative to the market. When you try to deal with it on Monday’s open, the situation won’t be what it is today anymore.
If you don’t want to hold risk through the weekend, but you’re also not sure whether to reduce your position or exit, you can come find me. I’ll help you sort out the most stable way to handle it—don’t stubbornly hold on and turn a small problem into a deadlock.