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$BTC Current situation:
• The selling side has been strongly aggressive in the recent downtrend → partially exhausted (volume is shrinking).
• The buying side has not turned strongly aggressive again (weak rebound volume).
• The market is in a phase of control transition (from seller to buyer), but it has not been completed yet.
Short-term Order Flow Bias (1–3 days):
• Slightly bearish if price fails to hold the 62,666 – 63,000 zone.
• A bullish reversal is only confirmed when a long green candle appears + a strong volume increase in the support area.
Confluence with other factors:
• On-Chain: Whales are accumulating strongly → supports the medium-term buying side.
• Volume Profile: Just at a new HVN + signs of seller exhaustion.
• Order Flow: No clear aggressive buying yet → wait for further confirmation.
5. Order Flow-based trade setups
Long Setup (preferred):
• Entry: 62,700 – 63,100 (when absorption signals appear or a reversal candle forms + volume increases).
• SL: Below 62,500 (break of structure).
• TP1: 64,200 – 64,500
• TP2: 65,600
• R:R: Minimum 1:2.5
Short Setup (trade only with strong confirmation):
• Entry around 64,500 – 65,000 if volume is weak and rejection appears.
• SL above 65,700.
• Higher risk because on-chain is currently supporting the buying side.