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#PreIPOsSeason2OpenAISubscription ETH TAKES THE LEAD WHILE BTC HOLDS RANGE - WHAT CHANGED IN THE LAST 7 DAYS
Something broke in the usual order this week. For months, Bitcoin held the spotlight while alt risk lagged. This time, Ether led.
THE CORE FLOW
On July 16, data showed Ether up about 11% on the week, while most large caps stayed flat or red. ETF flow was the driver. BlackRock's ETH fund took almost all fresh money back into crypto ETFs. That matters. When a single fund pulls that share, it tells you where large allocators want exposure.
Bitcoin, in contrast, moved in a tight band. $61.8k to $64.8k. Liquidation maps flagged $61.3k as the line bears must break. $64.4k to $65k was the ceiling after soft US CPI.
MACRO BACKDROP - CPI, YIELD, AND OIL
July 14 to 15 CPI print came in soft. That cut odds of a July hike and pushed BTC near $64.8k. But gains faded as two year yield rose again on oil strength and US-Iran tension headlines. Risk had fuel, but also a cap.
My read as a trader: CPI gave bulls a reason, yield took it back. Until yield cools, upside will be sold into. Watch crude. If oil holds high, rates stay sticky and crypto rallies will be short lived.
ON CHAIN AND VOLUME CLUE
South Korea saw a spike in spot volume during the dip, a sign of local dip buying. BTC held $62.5k despite $283M in 24h liq, with long bias 74% of flush. That kind of long flush that still holds support is often healthy.
For ETH, on chain fees and active use ticked up, but flow still leads price this week.
TRADING PLAN I USE NOW • BTC: I keep $62.5k as pivot. Above it, I look for long entries on dips toward $62.8k with stop below $61.3k. Below $61.3k, I cut and wait. • ETH: Momentum is with ETH. Pullbacks to $2,900-$3,000 zone, if seen, are more appealing than chasing green candles. If ETF flow stays strong for three days in a row, I hold with wider room. If flow turns flat, I trim. • Risk: Oil, yield, and Fed talk. A hawkish tone can undo soft CPI fast.
This week proved a point I stress often: flow beats opinion. You can have a view, but money moving through BlackRock's ETH product has more weight than any chart pattern alone.
#ETHSurge
#SummerCreationCamp
Something broke in the usual order this week. For months, Bitcoin held the spotlight while alt risk lagged. This time, Ether led.
THE CORE FLOW
On July 16, data showed Ether up about 11% on the week, while most large caps stayed flat or red. ETF flow was the driver. BlackRock's ETH fund took almost all fresh money back into crypto ETFs. That matters. When a single fund pulls that share, it tells you where large allocators want exposure.
Bitcoin, in contrast, moved in a tight band. $61.8k to $64.8k. Liquidation maps flagged $61.3k as the line bears must break. $64.4k to $65k was the ceiling after soft US CPI.
MACRO BACKDROP - CPI, YIELD, AND OIL
July 14 to 15 CPI print came in soft. That cut odds of a July hike and pushed BTC near $64.8k. But gains faded as two year yield rose again on oil strength and US-Iran tension headlines. Risk had fuel, but also a cap.
My read as a trader: CPI gave bulls a reason, yield took it back. Until yield cools, upside will be sold into. Watch crude. If oil holds high, rates stay sticky and crypto rallies will be short lived.
ON CHAIN AND VOLUME CLUE
South Korea saw a spike in spot volume during the dip, a sign of local dip buying. BTC held $62.5k despite $283M in 24h liq, with long bias 74% of flush. That kind of long flush that still holds support is often healthy.
For ETH, on chain fees and active use ticked up, but flow still leads price this week.
TRADING PLAN I USE NOW • BTC: I keep $62.5k as pivot. Above it, I look for long entries on dips toward $62.8k with stop below $61.3k. Below $61.3k, I cut and wait. • ETH: Momentum is with ETH. Pullbacks to $2,900-$3,000 zone, if seen, are more appealing than chasing green candles. If ETF flow stays strong for three days in a row, I hold with wider room. If flow turns flat, I trim. • Risk: Oil, yield, and Fed talk. A hawkish tone can undo soft CPI fast.
This week proved a point I stress often: flow beats opinion. You can have a view, but money moving through BlackRock's ETH product has more weight than any chart pattern alone.
#ETHSurge
#SummerCreationCamp