If it can’t reclaim 4045 within the day, it will repeatedly retest and drop back to the area around 3960. In the morning, you can enter around 3960 as long as it doesn’t break, and participate in the 4000 rebound for an arbitrage trade. Conversely, if it breaks 3950, don’t take action—there’s a deeper abyss below. At the moment, tech is falling sharply, and liquidity is moving with the US dollar index; once 3950 is broken, you’ll only have to wait for liquidity to return and for medium- to long-term capital to come in to buy the dip.

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