$CL /USDT 4-hour bearish signal— is this a trap or a real drop?

$CL /USDT - SHORT (sell)

Trading plan:
Entry: 78.93 – 79.21
SL: 80.37
TP1: 78.10
TP2: 77.45
TP3: 76.47

Why focus on this setup?
- The 4-hour EMA points bearish; the 15-minute RSI is 55, not oversold, and there’s still room to the downside.
- The daily ranging zone—around 79.07 is resistance, and the short entry point is clear.
- Why now? RSI is neutral + trend range; price has touched the upper bound of the range, so the short rationale holds.

Discussion:
Will this move hit TP1 first at 78.10, or go straight to TP2 at 77.45 with a quick wick?