July 17


BTC Midday
At the high end, it’s ranging and chopping, with short-term cycle indicators showing a bearish divergence. Bulls lack buying support. Liquidity at midday is weak, and the probability of an upside breakout is extremely low. The most likely near-term trend is a modest pullback to digest floating gains; it’s not suitable to chase in with a heavy position from a high level.

Strategy:
BTC: 63,000-63,500—hold; defense at 62,500; target 64,300-65,000; a breakout would look for 65,500
ETH: 1,820-1,840—hold; defense at 1,800; target 1,900-1,950

Disclaimer: Investing involves risk; enter the market with caution
BTC0.32%
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IPOnewbie
· 17h ago
Sideways trading really grinds people down; a pullback would be healthier. Then wait to buy at lower levels in multiple entries.
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ElliottWaveSurfer
· 18h ago
The longer “big pie” keeps churning in this spot, the more dangerous it becomes. On the daily timeframe, the risk of a high-level MACD dead cross hasn’t been fully released yet. Divergences on smaller timeframes are just the prelude—stay steady, wait for a pullback to stabilize, and then add to your position.
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FloorBottom
· 18h ago
Divergence between indicators plus liquidity drying up—this script has been seen many times. Most likely it will break lower in search of support; it’s hard to say whether 63,000 can hold, and going heavy carries significant risk.
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CryptoAstrologer
· 18h ago
As the saying goes, set your stop-loss, don’t be greedy—staying alive is the most important thing.
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MemeToNFT
· 19h ago
I placed limit orders according to your strategy, but I feel that if it breaks down directly at 62,500, then the 1,800 defense for the second bet (second round) might also be questionable. If the NFP data turns out bearish overnight, things won’t be easy to say. But for now, it really seems that the main play is going long on dips; chasing at high levels has too poor a cost-effectiveness ratio.
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