Argentina scored a stoppage-time winner against England to advance to the final, with the prediction market giving Spain a 58% chance to win



In the early hours of July 16, the 2026 USA-Canada-Mexico World Cup semifinals delivered a marquee matchup: defending champions Argentina faced England. Argentina once trailed in the match. At the 85th minute, Fernández fired in a stunning long-range strike to level the score. At the 92nd minute, Martínez headed home a stoppage-time winner. In the end, Argentina overturned England 2-1 and reached the World Cup final for the second consecutive edition.

Meanwhile, Spain beat France 2-0 to secure the other spot in the final, and the two teams will battle for this edition’s Hercules Cup.

After the final matchup was confirmed, the prediction market funds rapidly repriced. Data from the platform shows that the current market odds price Spain’s title chance at 58%, while Argentina’s defending title probability stands at 42%. Expectations for relative strength have already diverged, and the market’s fund flow also directly reflects the gap between the two teams’ chances of winning the title.

#世界杯 #阿根廷 #西班牙 #体育预测市场
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2026 World Cup Winner
Spain
1.70x
59%
Argentina
2.46x
41%
$4.47M Vol+48 more
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AShareRonin
· 13h ago
Market predictions are always just for reference; football is round, and Argentina’s chance to defend their title is considerable.
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LiquidityPump
· 13h ago
Argentina is tough as nails—an extra-time winner is so intense!
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VoteGuide
· 13h ago
This semifinal had me on the edge of my seat—Fernández’s long-range thunderous shot, the world-class volley; Martínez’s header to win it late. Argentina’s resilience is unbelievable. In the final against Spain, I’m backing Messi to lead the team to win another title.
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GreedIndexWatcher
· 14h ago
England again goes out on penalties? No, this time it’s a stoppage-time winner—more painful. Spain has a 58% chance? I’d rather not believe it; Argentina has the pedigree of champions.
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