This short-sell trade feels pretty comfortable this time. The key isn’t that you go short only after it drops—it’s that the chart had already been signaling before the drop.

$TAO near 270.4 failed to rally repeatedly. At the time, many people still thought it was just normal consolidation, but what really made me alert was that every time it pushed higher, there was no sustained buying—instead, the key levels were slowly moving down. Something was clearly off: the main force was obviously exhausting the people chasing long at the high.

Now the price is at 193.4. The short position profit is +1371.36%. Once the volatility range opened up, the move followed more smoothly than expected. The most satisfying spot to profit on a down move is when the market is still hesitating—you’ve already aligned with the direction by following the structure.

But you can’t get greedy after taking profit. The 80/20 staged approach is more suitable for this kind of market: lock in most of the profit first, keep following with a smaller position, and make sure the protective stop is in place. A dead-cat bounce isn’t scary; what’s scary is holding back without a plan and letting the retracement wipe out your gains.

If you missed it, don’t force the chase. Wait for the bounce or wait for an even more comfortable entry.

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