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Bearish with a 95% win rate—does BTC need to break through 64,000 this time?
$BTC /USDT - SHORT sell
Trading plan:
Entry: 64,073.1 – 64,243.3
SL: 64,975.2
TP1: 63,545.5
TP2: 63,137.0
TP3: 62,524.3
Why focus on this structure?
- Clear bearish trend on the 1D; the 4h SHORT signal is already armed; RSI on the 15m is only 45.49, with no strength in the rebound
- Current price is 64,158, directly approaching the bearish target TP1 at 63,545, with more than 600 points of room
- ATR on the 1h is 340, volatility is expanding; the bearish EMA alignment is already in place
Discussion:
For this short position, do you take profit at TP2 63,137, or are you afraid of a bear-trap dip and then reversing to buy?