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I’ll lay out this short trade directly—it's not comfortable because it’s dropped and only then do I feel happy; it’s comfortable because that previous high-level tug-of-war already exposed the weak points very clearly.
$FIL At the time, it got stuck above and wouldn’t come down. A lot of people watched the sideways action and thought it would keep running higher, but what I was watching was the speed of the pullback after each surge. What really got my attention was that after the price got to around 0.9335, the buy-side follow-through noticeably slowed down—selling resistance sat overhead and refused to budge. The structure was already off.
So I held this position in line with the short-side rhythm and wasn’t shaken out by the small rebound in the middle. Now at 0.7755, +815.09% is already in hand, and the room for the move has been released pretty decisively. For those with heavy position sizes right now, don’t get greedy—using an 80/20 split into batches is more stable. Lock in most of the profits first, and then take the rest with a protective level while waiting to see if it extends.
Many people lose money because even though they were right about the direction, they were unwilling to protect their profits. My approach is simple: when shorts are realized, I respect the market structure—don’t chase what you missed. Wait for the next opportunity.
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