July 16: Market wrap-up—Gold plunges; “Huangyu” late-night review


When the data hits, the gold price falls sharply, and the “empty head” clears the downside space completely

1. Looking back at the chart, in the evening, multiple US economic data releases all strengthened across the board, causing gold to crash hard. The price dropped to a low of 3974, with the current price at 3989. On the hourly chart, price broke below the Bollinger lower band at 3985. The “magical nine turns” bearish sequence once again confirmed, with multiple resistances overhead at 4028 and 4070. In the short term, there is a strong pressure zone at 4000-4030. Support lies at 3974. The large-scale bearish trend is fully formed, and the rebound strength is extremely weak.
2. From the news side, the US initial jobless claims, retail sales, and Philadelphia manufacturing data released in the evening were all better than market expectations. US economic resilience was beyond expectations. The market significantly pushed back the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts, the US Dollar Index surged, “Doto” funds continued withdrawing from gold, and bearish sentiment in the short term persists.
Strategy:
Short in batches on rebounds in the 4000-4030 range, targeting 3970, and looking down toward the 3950 support.
Note: This is only for reference and does not constitute any investment advice. $XAUT
XAUT-0.66%
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CrossChainTraveller
· 8h ago
This round of bears looks solid, but be careful not to chase too aggressively—wait for the rebound to enter more safely.
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MistValleySignpost
· 8h ago
With data this good, no wonder the gold price won’t fall—an upside rebound is a chance to short.
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PhishTester
· 8h ago
Honestly, when the data came out at night, I felt something was off. Luckily I moved quickly and didn’t get trapped. The OP’s strategy is solid, but I think if it breaks below 3,950, it could accelerate. At that time, you can consider chasing a short. Thanks for sharing!
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IntradayWarrior
· 10h ago
It’s emptied out, it’s all gone—going with the first batch.
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RugSurvivor
· 10h ago
The analysis is spot on. I just saw the lower Bollinger Band break as well, but is this 3974 the recent support level? If it breaks, then there really won’t be any bottom. Crude oil is also falling—overall conditions aren’t good.
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