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France may secure the third-place finish and keep the final glory--the world cup betting diary of “Little Lucky Money” 🔥

As the World Cup nears its conclusion, the third-place match will kick off first on July 19, with France vs. England. Although the third- and fourth-place match has long been regarded as a “mere formality,” for France it is precisely a “battle of revenge,” with motivation and fighting spirit far stronger than England’s, and they may ultimately lift the third-place trophy

‌I. France’s desire for revenge is far stronger than England’s

France were just eliminated by Argentina in the semi-final, and the whole squad is full of pent-up fire. For a team aiming to win the title, a semi-final exit is hard to accept, and the third- and fourth-place match gives them a stage to vent their emotions and reclaim their dignity. Judging from history, France have been excellent in World Cup third- and fourth-place matches; they won twice in 1958 and 1986. Their level of importance and hunger for victory in this match is usually far higher than their opponents. By contrast, if England had been eliminated in the semi-final, their psychological sense of defeat would be even deeper. Moreover, England have never really cared much about third- and fourth-place matches historically, and there have even been precedents of them giving up. This gap in mentality will directly show up in the intensity of the game.

‌II. Mbappé needs a stage to “prove himself”

Although Mbappé did everything he could in the semi-final, the team as a whole failed to progress, and his personal spotlight dimmed along with it. For him, the third- and fourth-place match is his last chance in this World Cup to rack up stats and prove that he is still the most dominant striker on this planet. With his terrifying 8-goal efficiency in this tournament, facing an England defense that is not exactly top-tier, he has a very high chance to add more goals, ending his World Cup journey with a relatively decent conclusion via a big win. This kind of personal drive, in a “no-pressure” third- and fourth-place match, will be fully unleashed.

‌III. England’s fitness and injury concerns are more serious

Looking at their qualification path, England used far more energy than France during the knockout stage. If they had been eliminated in the semi-final only after extra time or a penalty shootout, the fitness reserves of their main players would already be running on empty. Even if France also played extra time in the semi-final, their bench depth and squad rotation ability were better to begin with, and the form and stamina of their substitute players—such as Tchouaméni, Camavinga, and Kolo Muani—have been kept much better. The third- and fourth-place match is usually played one day before the final, leaving extremely limited recovery time. Whichever side has more fresher legs will hold the initiative. England’s ban on WIl?萨（宽萨）and the aging issues in their back line will be further magnified in this match.

‌IV. Tactically, France have the advantage

France’s counterattack speed is the fastest at this World Cup. The front three of Mbappé, Dembélé, and Barcola is nearly unstoppable in transition. England’s back line is not known for its pace to begin with, so the Stoness and Walker combination will find France’s wide-lane pressure very difficult to handle. Also, in third- and fourth-place matches, both teams’ defensive commitment tends to drop, making it easier for the match to turn into an open end-to-end game—exactly the tempo France like. England’s attack relies on Kane dropping back and Bellingham arriving late, but if France use high-intensity pressing to cut off the midfield supply lines, England’s offensive system is very likely to run awkwardly.

‌V. Psychological advantage from past head-to-heads

France have held the upper hand in recent major matches against England. In the 2022 World Cup quarterfinal, France beat England 2-1. In that match, after falling behind, France completed a turnaround with goals from Tchouaméni and Giroud, showing strong mental resilience. This kind of psychological hint of “I beat you before” will make France players more confident and composed when facing England. And every time England encounter France, they end up carrying a psychological burden without realizing it. This subtle difference in mindset will be even more apparent in an otherwise irrelevant third- and fourth-place match.