CXMT IPO forecast — closing market cap

Changxin Technology’s subscription has officially opened today, and it is expected to be listed on July 27.
@predictdotfun posted this event last night. There are 9 options with points, and each is a top-scoring 200 points option—definitely worth doing.
If you’re worried about high volatility, it’s recommended to cancel any outstanding orders before July 25.
The main operational idea is still to choose options with higher probability as much as possible. Here, specifically, it’s to prioritize the options at the top and bottom ends.
The order tiers you place can be differentiated based on probability—for example, if the probability is higher, placing it a bit earlier doesn’t matter. If it gets filled, it’s more likely to pay out; even if it doesn’t, as long as it’s still okay by settlement—take, for example, the first option “No” for “less than one trillion.”
From the event itself, Grok, Gemini, and ChatGPT were asked to analyze it separately.
🔹 base/neutral forecast, roughly landing around 1.2-1.8 trillion.
🔹 optimistic forecast, roughly landing around 2-2.5 trillion.
Considering Changxin Technology’s special situation in China, I personally also lean toward it being priced closer to the optimistic scenario.
But looking at the chips shown above (prices within 2 trillion), they’re so low that I want to take a small amount and leave some orders open.
Market entry

#Prediction market