Sharing ETH market outlook: look at long- and short-term cycles separately—don’t mix them up

Overall, my main direction is still firmly bullish on Ethereum; the underlying logic remains unchanged: the L2 ecosystem keeps expanding, RWA tokenization demand keeps rising steadily, and staking lockups continue to accumulate and get tied up. The trend is clear that institutional capital will make long-term allocations. For long-term holding, you don’t need to trade frequently—pullbacks are all opportunities to buy the dip.

In the short term, the market faces pressure. For this rebound, the upside target is first to watch the 2000 level. At this spot, a large amount of sell pressure from previous trapped positions is concentrated, making it a strong resistance zone. When price pushes higher and reaches 2000, short-term traders may see profit-taking leading to a concentrated exit, triggering a technical pullback. Here, you can open a small position short-term short to capture the pullback move.

Key point: the 2000 short is only for short-term arbitrage—take profit and close. Don’t hold a long-term short. After the short-term pullback has sufficiently released the sell pressure and the market stabilizes, it will still return to the long-term bullish main theme.

Trading reminder: for short-term shorts, be sure to set a reasonable stop-loss, manage position size, and avoid the risk of spikes and sudden surges; for long-term positioning, hold patiently and ignore short-term minor consolidation and volatility.

The market is volatile, so trade within your capacity; this is for reference only!

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