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2026.7.16 10:37 AM BTC/ETH/XAU/US stocks analysis please
That night, the market siphoned off $308 million; 77,106 people went bankrupt and hit zero. Good news: Meibao (梅老板) won again—many of those who lost on Mbappé have managed to get it back on Meibao!
The probability that the Fed rate will be kept unchanged at 2:00 AM on the 30th of this month rises to 88.8%
BTC
Support 60,450 / 58,450
Resistance暂定 65,850-67,135 / 71,000
Right now you can only hold the spot you have below 60,000. After the spike higher last night, it’s currently basically in line with yesterday’s intraday price and is consolidating sideways. Intraday watch the support strength in the 63,600-64,000 range; once it holds, there’s still room ahead!
ETH
Support 1,635 / 1,560
Resistance暂定 2,000
Stop-loss breakeven for long positions’ base lots—spot has already reached the first take-profit range of 1,900-2,000. It’s recommended to reduce exposure by 30-40%, and keep the rest;
XAU: After spiking higher last night, it has pulled back to around 4,030. Intraday and later tonight, it may accelerate the test of the 4,000 level—watch for a speed-up selloff after a breakdown. The reversal of volume is the right time to act. Without that signal, don’t rush. For the XAU 4,010 longs from the past few days, remember to lock breakeven on the base lots;
US stocks: Last night, amid recent moves by the US banning new AI data center construction in multiple states, and with traditional employees worrying that AI will disrupt the jobs market, a special speech by Wos (沃什) helped steady the definition of AI. In addition, the overheated development of AI will also be curbed. On the tape, SNDK saw a 25% 3-day plunge—grab the chance on the rebound to run. For US stocks this week, it’s better to watch than to act for now;
Trading advice does not constitute any investment basis: strictly follow the strategy you already have. Don’t be afraid of stop-loss. Without stop-loss, it’s hard to be wise after you get burned once. Stop-loss is a must for growth. Trade spot according to the spot rules, and contracts according to the contract rules. The secondary market has both good and bad—what we can do is to hold through everything, and only then will there be a universe of opportunities!
#夏日创作营