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Guys, good morning! Gold is currently quoted around $4,040, down nearly $20 on the day, and the intraday trend is clearly weakening.
On the hourly timeframe this morning, it surged to 4,065 but couldn’t push higher. It then slid with consecutive bearish candles, dipping to a low around 4,039. For now, the bears are temporarily in the lead for the day. 4,065 is a strong near-term resistance level—if it can’t get back above it, it will likely test support again to the downside.
On the 4-hour timeframe, the earlier rebound from 3,940 up to around 4,100 has since lost steam and pulled back. Now it has fallen back into the 4,040 area. This looks like a second pullback after the rebound. Bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war, with no clear one-way trend yet.
On the weekly timeframe, the bigger picture is clearer: after the sustained pullback from the prior historical high at 5,596, it has been consolidating around the 4,000 level. This is an ongoing mid-term correction following a major rally, and overall the market is still maintaining a high-range consolidation pattern.
Trading suggestion: short around 4,050–4,060, with targets at 4,015 and 3,990.
For the short term, a bearish bias is fine—don’t blindly chase trades, and make sure you manage risk. $XAU