This short position finally paid off. $TRB spent too long grinding at the highs— the longer it churned, the more it looked like distribution. I’m not coming up with excuses afterward. What really made me pay attention at the time was that the rebound couldn’t break through; volume couldn’t keep up either. That level was already off.

For my side, the short entry was based on 17.31. During the process, there were several pullbacks that were really scary. When a lot of people see it get pulled back, they start questioning the direction. But the key is right here: in a weak market, it’s not that it doesn’t bounce—the bounce just provides better confirmation for shorts.

Now the price is at 15.04, and the unrealized profit is already up +922.29%. The market’s upside/downside room has been released pretty decisively. Brothers with larger positions can manage it with an 80/20 approach: take some profit first, and keep the remaining smaller position with a protective stop to watch for further extension. Don’t let the profit you already have get eaten back by a single rebound.

This move isn’t about guessing—it’s about waiting for the structure to loosen, then following the rhythm. If you didn’t get on board, don’t rush. Don’t chase, and don’t chase shorts either. Wait for the next more comfortable level to act.

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